Top Performaners October 2025
World Cup Advisors | Daniele Sambataro - Momentum Selection | +28.47%
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World Cup Advisors | John Bannan - Comhla Prophetick | +13.98%
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QQFund.com LLC | Alpha Beta Program | +8.25%
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QCM | Nexus One DivX | +7.55% | QEPs Only
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Wharton Capital Mgt | Ag Futures Program | +7.38% | QEPs Only
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Think Probabilities and Not Predictions
(Embracing Uncertainty with Probabilities)
By Aref Karim - Ershadul Haq - Raami Karim | August 2025
The Certainty Illusion
When people talk about markets, they often default to prediction. Will rates rise? Is a correction coming? Will the dollar top out? These questions reflect an underlying human need for certainty, the belief that someone, somewhere must know what happens next. It is a deeply ingrained instinct, rooted in our desire for control in an unpredictable world. But markets do not operate on certainties. They are complex, adaptive systems, shaped by flows of information, shifting sentiment, evolving policy, and positioning dynamics. They do not follow scripts. They react, recalibrate, and surprise. Read the Full ReportTop Performaners July 2025
World Cup Advisors | Jurg Diemand - Volatility Patterns | +12.55%
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Armington Capital | Trading Program | +9.06%
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OpenSide Capital | Managed Program | +8.80%
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Ditsch Trading, LLC | Discretionary Program | +5.16%
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World Cup Advisors | Daniele Sambataro - Momentum Selection | +4.80%
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CTA Summit 2025
The CTA Summit 2025 will be taking place at the Union League Club of Chicago, Chicago, IL on Septemember 11, 2025. CTA Summit Details
Dennis Rivera, Founder & Managing Member of Advanced Alpha Advisors, LLC is a Featured Speaker. Dennis has a number of programs listed on Autumn Gold including:
Advanced Alpha's ART Short Term Systeamtic SP - Volatility Class, and
Advanced Alpha's ART S-Term Defensive Program
Top Performaners June 2025
World Cup Advisors | Ivan Scherman - Emerge Funds | +14.88%
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World Cup Advisors | John Bannan - Comhla Prophetick | +14.32%
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Veerpoint Capital LLC | ContraCOT Program (P) | +12.28%
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OpenSide Capital, LLC | Managed Program | +11.22% | QEPs Only
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AIS Capital Mgt | MAAP (2X- 4X) | +9.31% | QEPs Only
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Early May Update
After a strong April, Veerpoint Capital's proprietary trading was +5.37% in May bringing the YTD number to +29.01%. Veerpoint opened their first client account on May 20, 2025. Visit Veerpoint's CTA Profile Page
HiProb Capital’s Neutral Plus Program showed a 0.62% return for May bringing the YTD number to +12.24%. Visit HiProb's CTA Profile Page
Top Performaners May 2025
Comhla LLC | Artemis 3X | +18.52% |
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Schindler Capital Mgt | Dairy Advantage Program | +7.62%
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Deep Field Capital AG | ST Absolute Return | +7.13% | QEPs Only
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FTC Capital GmbH | FTC Gideon 1 | +7.05% | Non US Investors Only
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Advanced Alpha Advisors | ART Short Term Systematic SP | +6.96% | QEPs Only
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Early May Update
After a strong April, Veerpoint Capital's proprietary trading was +5.37% in May bringing the YTD number to +29.01%. Veerpoint opened their first client account on May 20, 2025. Visit Veerpoint's CTA Profile Page
HiProb Capital’s Neutral Plus Program showed a 0.62% return for May bringing the YTD number to +12.24%. Visit HiProb's CTA Profile Page
April 2025 CTA Highlights
One of our newest CTA listings, Veerpoint Capital returned +11.42% in April 2025 (proprietary trading). We’re pleased to introduce their manager and strategy.
The ContraCOT program, managed by Adam Rude, is a systematic global macro futures strategy that combines technical analysis with insights from the CFTC’s Commitments of Traders (COT) reports. It seeks asymmetric risk-reward opportunities by analyzing market participation and identifying over-concentrated positioning. The program trades over 30 U.S. commodity and financial futures markets and is designed to remain uncorrelated to traditional asset classes and other CTA strategies.
After two years of proprietary trading and rising allocator interest, Mr. Rude registered Veerpoint Capital as a CTA in January 2025 and began managing client assets in May.
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Several options traders reported strong April performance, led by HiProb Capital’s Neutral Plus Program with a +7.6% return. Below are highlights from HiProb’s commentary:
“Risk management was central to our success in April. We built a precisely hedged portfolio using carefully selected, highly correlated options, allowing us to minimize risk while capturing market movement within a high-probability range. As volatility evolved, we adjusted in real time, shifting our positioning to maintain the edge while avoiding unnecessary risk.”
HiProb’s Neutral strategies exclusively use near-expiration index option spreads to generate consistent absolute returns. Each spread is market-neutral and Vega-neutral, with offsetting long and short positions. Their patent-pending techniques identify mispriced spreads and execute only high-probability trades where reward meaningfully outweighs risk.
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Market Commentary – Courtesy of Buckingham Global Advisors
April was marked by early volatility as renewed U.S.–China tariff tensions triggered a sharp selloff. The S&P 500 fell over -11% before recovering to close down just -0.76%. The Dow dropped -3.17%, while the Nasdaq rose +0.85% on strong tech earnings.
Buckingham Performance: Buckingham Global Advisors managed the turbulence well. The WEP strategy returned +0.11%, and SEP gained +0.72%, both outperforming major indices. Proactive risk management, including timely exposure reductions and defensive positioning, helped protect capital and capture modest gains in one of the year’s most volatile months.
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Top Performers April 2025
Opus Futures | Macro Monitor | +15.51% |
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Chelton Wealth | Balanced Compounding | +13.45% | Non US Investors Only
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Veerpoint Capital | ContraCOT (Prop Trading) | +11.42% |
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FALGOM AG | TARO© Diversified | +11.06% | Non US Investors Only
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Deep Field Capital | STAR | +10.21% | QEPs Only
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Top Performers March 2025
Typhon Capital Mgt | Vulcan Metals Ultra | +16.94% | QEPs Only
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AIS Capital Mgt | MAAP (2X-4X) | +12.29% | QEPs Only
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Blue Creek Capital Mgt | Metals Alpha | +9.44% | QEPs Only
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AG Capital Investments | Global Macro Program | +9.37% | QEPs Only
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Deep Field Capital | Systematic Volatility Arbitrage | +7.46% | QEPs Only
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Top Performers February 2025
Quanify GmbH - Chelton Wealth | Balanced Compounding | +14.68% | Non US Investors Only
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Opus Futures | Macro Monitor Program | +6.84%
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Advanced Alpha Advisors | ART ST Systematic SP - Velocity | +6.44% | QEPs Only
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Paraimbal, LLC | Paraimbal Program | +5.96%
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Top Performers January 2025
Mulvaney Capital Mgt | Managed Futures Program +12.45% | QEPs Only
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Blue Creek Capital Mgt | Global Opportunities Program | +10.46% | QEPs Only
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Blue Creek Capital Mgt | Metals Program | +10.35% | QEPs Only
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AIS Capital Mgt | MAAP (2X- 4X) | +9.45% | QEPs Only
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QuantOn Solutions OCPAS | Managed Futures Index | +8.6% | QEPs Only
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Top Performers December 2024
Advanced Alpha | ART ST Systematic | +14.21% | QEPs Only
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Mulvaney Capital | Managed Futures Program | +12.76% | QEPs Only
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EMC Capital Advisors | Classic Program | +8.65% | QEPs Only
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EMC Capital Advisors | Tactical Commodity | +8.56% | QEPs Only
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Quantitative Investment Mgt | Global Program | +5.97% | QEPs Only
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Top Performers November 2024
Katonah Eve LLC | Enigma CME | +28.03% | Prop Trading | QEPs Only
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Purple Valley Capital | Diversified Trend 1 Program | +11.51% | Accredited or QEPs Only
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Melissinos Trading | Eupatrid | +9.87% | QEPs Only
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O'Brien Investment Group | Quantitative GM Futures | +7.47% | QEPs Only
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Mulvaney Capital Mgt | Managed Futures Program | +6.99% | QEPs Only
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Top Performers October 2024
Alleman Capital Mgt | AC Crude Hedge | +8.51%
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Advanced Alpha | ST Systematicc - Velocity Program | +7.88% | QEPs Only
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QDRA Pty Ltd | Systematic Commodities | +7.77% | QEPs Only
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PGM Asset Mgt | Trident Program | +6.66% | QEPs Only
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Quantitative Investment Mgt | Global Program | +5.13% | QEPs Only
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Top Performers September 2024
AG Capital | Global Macro | +14.68% | QEPs Only
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Astute Group | Pulse Program | +11.93%
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Blue Creek Capital Mgt | Global Opportunities | +10.41% | QEPs Only
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Typhon Capital Mgt | Vulcan Metals Ultra | +9.63% | QEPs Only
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Blue Creek Capital Mgt | Metals Alpha | +8.81% | QEPs Only
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Top Performers August 2024
Schindler Capital Mgt | Dairy Advantage | +13.73%
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Moddco Capital | MCA Strategy | +12.48%
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Advanced Alpha Advisors | ART Short Term | +12.47% | QEPs Only
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Numberline Capital Partners | Macro Risk | +7.78%
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Buckingham Q&A
I started as a software programmer in various industries before earning my MBA from the University of Chicago during the 2008 financial crisis. Despite challenging job prospects post-MBA, I witnessed significant market movements, inspiring my focus on trading index options. Utilizing the efficient market hypothesis, my strategy centers on exploiting inefficiencies in the S&P 500's derivatives market.
During my time at the University of Chicago, I developed an option-based quant replication model under Prof. Pastor Lubes. This model, refined over the years, has been the basis for managing client assets since March 2015, leading to me registering Buckingham Global Advisors, LLC as a CTA in July 2015.
Top Performers April 2024
Moddco Capital Associates | MCA Strategy | +22.31%
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AG Capital Investments | Global Macro | +17.10% | QEPs Only |
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Comhla LLC | Artemia | +14.25%
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QDRA Pty Ltd| QDRA Systematic Commodities | +10.30%
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EMC Capital Advisors | Tactical Commodity | +10.15% | QEPs Only
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Top Performers March 2024
Mulvaney Capital Mgt | MF Program | +51.08% | QEPs Only
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Purple Valley Capital, Inc | Diversified Trend 1 | +24.03% |
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AG Capital Invetments | Global Macro | +21.20% | QEPs Only
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QDRA Pty Ltd | Systematic Commodities | +20.03% |
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Advanced Alpha Advisors | ART ST Systematic SP Volatility | +12.80% | QEPs Only |
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