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Lyncestis LLP - FX Basket Quant - Currency Trading (P)



Principal(s): Dejan Trajkovski
Strategy: Systematic / Quantitative / G10 Currencies
Request Disclosure Document
Investment Restrictions: Non-US Investors Only++

Statistics & Program Information

Nov Return   0.41% Worst Drawdown (2)    -14.70% Minimum Investment   $100,000
YTD Return   2.87% Losing Streak (3)    0.00 % AUM (5)   $30,000
Annualized CROR (1)    2.60 Sharpe Ratio (4)   0.30 Calmar Ratio (6)    6.04
Trading Methodology
100% Systematic
Style Sub-Categories
Quantitative

Trading Style
100% Quantitative
Market Sector
100% Currencies
Holding Period
100% Short Term
Sector
Global
Contracts
Forex

Start Date   Feb-2013 Currency   US Dollar Margin (7)   5%
New Money   Yes AUM (5)   $30,000 Management Fee    0.00%
Min Investment    $100,000 Annualized CROR (1)   2.60 Incentive Fee    20.00%
Fund Minimum    $0 Losing Streak (3)    0.00 % Other Fees   No
Notional Funds    Yes Worst Drawdown (2)    -14.70 % Avg Comm (8)   
NFA Member    No Sharpe Ratio (4)    0.30 Max Comm (9)   0.00
NFA Number    Non NFA-Member Calmar Ratio (6)    6.04 Round Turns (10)    100
Starting Date:  Feb-2013 Currency:  US Dollar
Open to New Investors:  Yes Current Assets:  $30,000
Open to US Investors:  Yes Annualized CROR:  2.60%
Minimum Fund Investment:  $0 Worst Monthly Drawdown:  -14.70
Minimum Managed Account:  $100,000 Current Losing Streak:  0.00 %
Domocile:   Calmar:  6.04
Subscriptions:  N/A Sharpe Ratio:  0.30
Redemptions:  N/A US Attorney:  Not Listed
Lock Up:  N/A Offshore Attorney:  Not Listed
Hurdle Rate:  N/A Administrator:  Not Listed
Administraton Fee:  0.00% Prime Broker:  Not Listed
Management Fee:  0.00% Auditor:  Not Listed
Incentive Fee:  20.00% NFA Member:  No
Other Fees:  No FINRA Member:  No
Other Memberships:  None
Type of Fund:
Domicile:
Strategy:
Track Record Prepared By: Lyncestis LLP
Correlations: AG CTA Index: -0.202              AG Systematic CTA Index: -0.204             

P - Proprietary Trading Results * C - Client Trading Result * P&C - Combines Client & Proprietary Trading Results (the accounting notes will identify the time frame for each.

1. Rates of Return: Rate of Returns are calculated from the start date of each program. Usually returns are calculated based on the Annual Compounded Rate of Return method. In some cases returns have been calculated on a Non-Compounded basis. This would occur when a Manager trades based on account unit rather than on account equity.

The Annualized Compounded Rate of Return ("Annualized CROR") represents the compounded rate of return or each year or portion thereof presented. It is computed by applying successively respective monthly rate of return for each month beginning with the first month of that period. The Annual Rate of Return ("Annual ROR") is the annualized Mean Return.

2. The Worst Peak-to-Valley Drawdown ("Worst Drawdown") is defined as the greatest cumulative percentage decline in net asset value due to losses sustained by the trading program during any period in which the initial net asset value is not equaled or exceeded by a subsequent asset value.

3. Start & End Dates: Indicates the Start and End Dates of the Worst Peak-to-Valley Drawdown.

4. The Current Losing Streak ("Losing Streak") represents the extent of the Advisor's current drawdown.

5. Annualzied Standard Deviation is one way to look at consistency of returns. It measures the degree by which the monthly returns vary from the average (mean) return.

6. Downside Deviation is a measure of downside volatility. It only considers those monthly performance results that are less than the monthly Minimum Acceptable Rate of Return.

7. The Sharpe Ratio is a risk-adjusted ratio that rewards consistency of returns. Traders are penalized for volatility regardless of whether it is on the up or downside. The Sharpe Ratios is calculated using a 1% risk-free rate of return.

8. The Sortino Ratio is a risk-adjusted ratio. The higher the number the better. Results are dependent upon the Minimum Acceptable Rate of Return (currently set at 5%.

9. The Sterling Ratio is a risk-adjusted return measurement calculated by dividing the Annualized Compound ROR by the Average Yearly Maximum Drawdown less an arbitrary 10%. The Sterling Ratio is normally calculated using the last 36 months of data.

10. The Calmar Ratio represents the historical amount gained for each dollar risked. A higher number is better. Unless otherwise denoted the Calmar Ratio is calculated by dividing the 36 month Annualized Compounded ROR by the 36 month Peak to Valley Drawdown. Traders with less than 36 months of data or a negative Calmar Ratio will be indicated by N/A.

11. The Omega Function accounts for the non-normal distributions of returns and takes into account the investor's preferences for loss and gain. Omega is computed directly from the returns distribution and measures the total impact of the moments instead of each one of them individually.

12. Minimum Investment represents the minimum account size.

13. Assets Under Management ("AUM") represents the current nominal assets traded by the Manager.

14. The Number of Winning Months represents the months with positive return.

15. The Number of Losing Months represents the months with negative return.

16. The Percentage of Winning Months represents the % of winning months.

17. Margin to Equity ("Margin") represents the average margin as a percent of a fully funded account.

18. Round Turns per Million ("Round Turns") represent the average number of round turns that would be generated in a $1,000,000 account.

19. Average Commission ("Avg Comm") represents the average commission rate of the composite track record. A higher or lower commission rate would increase or decrease the performance accordingly.

20. Maximum Commisions ("Max Comm") is the Maximum Round Turn Rate allowable by the Manager.

Trading Description:

FX BASKET QUANT (FXBQ) is a systematic, quantitative trading program, which trades currencies in the cash ("spot") markets. The strategy creates a complex portfolio of 10 global (G10) currencies and adjusts its components daily.

The strategy exploits the asymmetry of percentage increases and decreases of price returns. For example, if the NZDCHF price return is positive, the CHFNZD return will be negative, but the sum of these two returns will always be positive, although denominated in different currencies. The strategy trades all currency crosses between 9 base currencies, accumulates returns in base currencies and periodically converts them into USD. Based on positions of all components (a total of 72 currency crosses), positions are consolidated into the base 9 currencies against the US Dollar. The resulting positions are then implemented in the market. The trading strategy is always in the market, but portfolio weights are adjusted daily.

Risk Strategy:

Risk control is achieved through a variety of means which in most market conditions should minimize drawdowns. The first is portfolio construction and diversification; second is portfolio concentration control through position size limitation according to account size (the position size limit for each currency is currently 100% of NAV); and third is a catastrophic stop based on money management rules (can be selected by the investor).

Background:

The trading methodology is based on a fully computerized trading system developed by Dejan Trajkovski, Ph.D. Dejan received his M.S. degree in Applied Mechanics of Deformable Body and Ph.D. in Computational Mechanics from University of Belgrade, Yugoslavia (1992) and University of Skopje, Macedonia (1995). Throughout his successful career as a professor at University of Bitola, Macedonia, Dejan Trajkovski gained significant experience in the fields of Theoretical and Applied Mechanics, Mechatronics, Computerized Motion Control and Robotics. Dejan Trajkovski was employed at the Faculty of Technical Sciences in Bitola, Macedonia as Assistant professor (1995-2000), Associate Professor (2000-2005) and Professor (2005 to present). The foreign currency and equity market became his field of work in 2001. Dejan was confident that financial markets were the the right place where the mathematically precise instruments of quantitative analysis could be applied. In the following years he has been involved in research and development of trading systems, and his quantitative trading systems are currently used by Lyncestis LLP.

Performance

Monthly Performance Since February 2013

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov DecROR Max DD
2024 0.63% 0.18% -0.30% -0.18% 0.64% 0.32% -0.71% 1.27% 0.03% 0.56% 0.41%   2.87% -0.71%
2023 0.71% 0.72% 0.30% -0.76% 0.97% 0.58% -0.14% 0.73% -0.64% 0.86% 0.15% -0.07% 3.44% -0.76%
2022 -0.10% 1.03% 0.13% 0.39% 0.53% 1.22% 0.85% 0.67% -0.31% 1.67% 0.37% 0.00% 6.63% -0.31%
2021 0.51% -0.10% -0.60% 0.79% 0.84% 0.23% 0.63% 0.13% 0.30% -0.64% 0.41% 0.85% 3.4% -0.69%
2020 -0.65% -0.05% -9.11% 0.05% -0.96% -0.44% -1.32% -2.93% 5.94% 1.72% 0.12% 0.63% -7.41% -14.7%
2019 1.18% 0.23% 0.66% 0.30% -0.20% -0.44% -1.23% -0.06% 2.25% 0.28% 0.58% 0.11% 3.67% -1.92%


Annual Performance

Years201320142015201620172018
ROR2.54%2.00%3.97%3.97%4.77%1.58%
Max DD-1.93%-1.60%-4.09%-8.53%-4.96%-1.88%

Years201920202021202220232024 YTD
ROR3.67%-7.41%3.40%6.63%3.44%2.87%
Max DD-1.92%-14.70%-0.69%-0.31%-0.76%-0.71%



PAST PERFORMANCE DOES NOT GUARANTEE FUTURE SUCCESS. THERE IS A RISK OF LOSS IN FUTURES TRADING.

VAMI, Assets under Management & Worst Drawdown

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Monthly Returns

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++Qualified Eligible Investors Only:

A Qualified Eligible Person must meet the following two requirements: 1) the investor must first be an accredited investor. The most common ways for this are to either have a net worth of $1,000,000 or more OR an annual income of $200,000 or more for the last two years OR, combined with a spouse, $300,000 per year for two years, 2) the investor must meet an additional portfolio requirement, which is having $4,000,000 in securities holdings OR the person must have on deposit with a Futures Commission Merchant at least $400,000 in exchange-specified initial margin and option premiums, and required minimum security deposit for retail forex transactions).

Exemptions:

PURSUANT TO AN EXEMPTION FROM THE COMMODITY FUTURES TRADING COMMISSION IN CONNECTION WITH THE ACCOUNTS OF QUALIFIED ELIBIBLE PERSONS, THIS BROCHURE OR ACCOUNT DOCUMENT IS NOT REQUIRED TO BE, AND HAS NOT BEEN, FILED WITH THE COMMISSION. THE COMMODITY FUTURES TRADING COMMISSION DOES NOT PASS UPON THE MERITS OF PARTICIPATING IN A TRADING PROGRAM OR UPON THE ADEQUANCY OR ACCURACY OF THE COMMODITY TRADING ADVISOR DISCLOSURE. CONSEQUENTLY, THE COMMODITY FUTURES TRADING COMMISSION HAS NOT REVIEWED OR APPROVED THIS TRADING PROGRAM OR THIS BROCHURE OR ACCOUNT DOCUMENT.

RISK DISCLOSURE

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.

THIS MATTER IS INTENDED AS A SOLICITATION FOR MANAGED FUTURES. THE RISK OF TRADING COMMODITY FUTURES, OPTIONS AND/OR FOREIGN EXCHANGE ('FOREX') IS SUBSTANTIAL. THE HIGH DEGREE OF LEVERAGE ASSOCIATED WITH COMMODITY FUTURES, OPTIONS AND FOREX CAN WORK AGAINST YOU AS WELL AS FOR YOU. THIS HIGH DEGREE OF LEVERAGE CAN RESULT IN SUBSTANTIAL LOSSES, AS WELL AS GAINS. YOU SHOULD THEREFORE CAREFULLY CONSIDER WHETHER SUCH TRADING IS SUITABLE FOR YOU IN LIGHT OF YOUR FINANCIAL CONDITION. IF YOU ARE UNSURE YOU SHOULD SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. AN INVESTOR MUST READ AND UNDERSTAND THE CTA’S CURRENT DISCLOSURE DOCUMENT BEFORE INVESTING. THERE ARE NO GUARANTEES OF PROFIT NO MATTER WHO IS MANAGING YOUR MONEY.

PAST PERFORMANCE DOES NOT GUARANTEE FUTURE SUCCESS. IN SOME CASES MANAGED ACCOUNTS ARE CHARGED SUBSTANTIAL COMMISSIONS AND ADVISORY FEES. THOSE ACCOUNTS SUBJECT TO THESE CHARGES, MAY NEED TO MAKE SUBSTANTIAL TRADING PROFITS JUST TO AVOID DEPLETION OF THEIR ASSETS. EACH COMMODITY TRADING ADVISOR ("CTA") IS REQUIRED BY THE COMMODITY FUTURES TRADING COMMISSION ("CFTC") TO ISSUE TO PROSPECTIVE CLIENTS A RISK DISCLOSURE DOCUMENT OUTLINING THESE FEES, CONFLICTS OF INTEREST AND OTHER ASSOCIATED RISKS. A HARD COPY OF THESE RISK DISCLOSURE DOCUMENTS ARE READILY AVAILABLE BY CLICKING ON EACH CTA'S "REQUEST DISCLOSURE DOCUMENT" BUTTON.

THE FULL RISK OF COMMODITY FUTURES, OPTIONS AND FOREX TRADING CAN NOT BE ADDRESSED IN THIS RISK DISCLOSURE STATEMENT. NO CONSIDERATION TO INVEST SHOULD BE MADE WITHOUT THOROUGHLY READING THE DISCLOSURE DOCUMENT OF EACH OF THE CTAS IN WHICH YOU MAY HAVE AN INTEREST. REQUESTING A DISCLOSURE DOCUMENT PLACES YOU UNDER NO OBLIGATION AND EACH DOCUMENT IS PROVIDED AT NO COST. THE CFTC HAS NOT PASSED UPON THE MERITS OF PARTICIPATING IN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING PROGRAMS NOR ON THE ADEQUACY OR ACCURACY OF THE DISCLOSURE DOCUMENTS. OTHER DISCLOSURE STATEMENTS ARE REQUIRED TO BE PROVIDED TO YOU BEFORE AN ACCOUNT MAY BE OPENED FOR YOU.

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. PROSPECTIVE CLIENTS SHOULD NOT BASE THEIR DECISION ON INVESTING IN THIS TRADING PROGRAM SOLELY ON THE PAST PERFORMANCE PRESENTED. ADDITIONALLY, IN MAKING AN INVESTMENT DECISION, PROSPECTIVE CLIENTS MUST ALSO RELY ON THEIR OWN EXAMINATION OF THE PERSON OR ENTITY MAKING THE TRADING DECISIONS AND THE TERMS OF THE ADVISORY AGREEMENT INCLUDING THE MERITS AND RISKS INVOLVED.

AUTUMN GOLD CTA INDEXES ARE NON-INVESTABLE INDEXES COMPRISED OF THE CLIENT PERFORMANCE OF CTA PROGRAMS INCLUDED IN THE AUTUMN GOLD DATABASE AND DO NOT REPRESENT THE COMPLETE UNIVERSE OF CTAS. INVESTORS SHOULD NOTE THAT IT IS NOT POSSIBLE TO INVEST IN THESE INDEXES.