
Quantitative / Diversified
The Quantitative Cipher Program utilizes machine learning techniques to build a diverse set of models that seek to forecast short-term market movements. The strategy developed by Chris and Bland is a quantitative short-term strategy designed to identify top-down market regimes and systematically uncover patterns in price data. The Program utilizes hundreds of models that make hourly and daily predictions of probable market or security direction over the short-term.
| Program Statistics |
|
| Peak-to-Valley Drawdown (2) | -12.60% |
| From Jul 2024 to Jan 2025 | |
| Worst Month (Dec 2024) | -7.41% |
| Current Losing Streak | -2.02% |
| Average Monthly Return | 0.48% |
| Monthly Std. Deviation | 1.7% |
| Gain Deviation (58 months) | 0.88% |
| Loss Deviation (22 months) | 1.74% |
| Gain to Loss Ratio | 0.82 |
| Omega Ratio (5% Threshold) | 1.12 |
| Annualized Performance |
|
| Compound ROR (1) | 5.79% |
| Standard Deviation | 5.9% |
| Downside Deviation | 4.14% |
| Sharpe Ratio (3) 2% RF ROR | 0.92 |
| Sortino Ratio (4) 5% MAR | 1.35 |
| Calmar Ratio (5) | 0.15 |
| Sterling Ratio (6) | 0.13 |
| Gain Deviation | 3.05% |
| Loss Deviation | 6.04% |
| Profit Loss Ratio | 2.17 |
| Investment Information |
|
| Program Start Date | Mar-2019 |
| Percent Discretionary | 5% |
| Percent Systematic | 95% |
| Currency Denomination - US Dollar | |
| Minimum Investment | $5,000,000 |
| Minimum Fund Investment | $250,000 |
| Management Fee | 0.00% |
| Incentive Fee | 0.00 |
| Margin | 13% |
| Round Turns per Million | 1,000 |
| NFA No: | #0337987 |
| 4.7 Exempt - Qualified Eligible Persons Only | |
| Performance Since March 2019 | Track Record Compiled By: N/A | Please See Accounting Notes |
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | ROR | Max DD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | -0.24% | 0.23% | 3.11% | 1.83% | 0.74% | 0.88% | 2.25% | 0.48% | 0.95% | 1.05% | – | – | 11.83% | -0.24% |
| 2024 | 0.33% | 1.24% | -1.47% | 1.32% | 1.94% | 0.69% | 0.59% | -0.26% | -1.31% | -3.10% | -0.80% | -7.41% | -8.27% | -12.39% |
| 2023 | 0.54% | 1.01% | -0.87% | 1.06% | -0.67% | 0.15% | 0.37% | 0.24% | 0.26% | -0.34% | 0.62% | 0.14% | 2.53% | -0.87% |
| 2022 | 2.14% | 1.05% | 1.96% | 2.99% | 1.97% | 2.07% | 0.95% | 1.07% | 1.41% | 2.82% | 0.17% | 0.55% | 20.88% | 0.00% |
| 2021 | 1.15% | 3.26% | -0.98% | 0.92% | -0.75% | -3.18% | -0.95% | 3.78% | 0.45% | -0.29% | -0.02% | 2.24% | 5.54% | -4.89% |
| 2020 | 0.94% | 2.51% | 1.62% | 1.94% | 0.21% | 1.11% | -1.15% | -0.89% | 0.60% | -2.22% | -0.28% | 0.71% | 5.12% | -3.90% |
| 2019 | – | – | 0.79% | 1.38% | 1.87% | 1.13% | 0.66% | -4.70% | 2.31% | -1.34% | 0.63% | 0.59% | 3.17% | -4.70% |
PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. AN INVESTOR COULD POTENTIALLY LOSE MORE THAN THE INITIAL INVESTMENT. AN INVESTOR MUST READ AND UNDERSTAND THE COMMODITY TRADING ADVISOR'S CURRENT DISCLOSURE DOCUMENT BEFORE INVESTING. SELLING OPTIONS INVOLVES UNLIMITED RISK OF LOSS. THERE IS NO GUARANTEE OF PROFIT NO MATTER WHO IS MANAGING YOUR MONEY. THIS MATTER IS INTENDED AS A SOLICITATION TO INVEST IN MANAGED FUTURES.


Net returns for the Quantitative Cipher Program are calculated assuming 0% management fees and 30% incentive fees for a representative investor since the March 2019 launch of the Quantitative Cipher Program, which reflects the most fees paid by any investor. Returns for each month for the period from 3/1/19 through 12/31/23 were calculated by summing a daily series of aggregate returns for all client managed accounts in the Quantitative Cipher Program; the returns series then switches on 1/1/24 to the monthly return for the Cipher Fund at 1X leverage. In addition to the fees referenced above, such returns are shown net of all expenses incurred by the Cipher Fund at 1X leverage. A direct investment in the Quantitative Cipher Program is not possible; an individual account or particular trading portfolio may have realized more or less favorable results. Information herein that is related to the latest month’s performance is based on estimated data.
If the Start Date of this Report Predates the Inception of the Program, the Maximum Drawdown from Inception may be larger than indicated in this report. Performance Results reported or amended subsequent to Monday December 8, 2025 are not reflected in this Report. Monthly ROR and drawdowns are based on end-of-month values and do not reflect intramonth volatility.
The drawdown begins in the month listed as "start." Length is in months. Recovery begins the following month and ends when full recovery is reached.
THIS PROGRAM IS ONLY OPEN TO INVESTORS FITTING THE DEFINITION OF A QUALIFIED ELIGIBLE PERSON AS THAT TERM IS DEFINED UNDER CFTC REGULATION 4.7(A). A Qualified Eligible Person must meet the following two requirements:
1. Must be an accredited investor (e.g., $1,000,000 net worth or $200,000 individual income / $300,000 joint income for 2 years).
2. Must meet a portfolio test (e.g., $4,000,000 in securities or $400,000 in required margin deposits).
PURSUANT TO AN EXEMPTION FROM THE COMMODITY FUTURES TRADING COMMISSION ("CFTC") IN CONNECTION WITH ACCOUNTS OF QUALIFIED ELIGIBLE PERSONS, THIS INFORMATION IS NOT REQUIRED TO BE, AND HAS NOT BEEN, FILED WITH THE CFTC. THE CCFTC DOES NOT PASS UPON THE MERITS OF PARTICIPATING IN A TRADING PROGRAM OR UPON THE ADEQUACY OR ACCURACY OF COMMODITY TRADING ADVISOR DISCLOSURE. CONSEQUENTLY, THE CFTC HAS NOT REVIEWED OR APPROVED THIS TRADING PROGRAM OR THIS DOCUMENT.
AG CTA Index: The Autumn Gold CTA Index is a Non-Investable Index comprised of the client performance of all CTA programs included in the AG database and does not represent the complete universe of CTAs. CTA programs with proprietary performance are not included. Monthly numbers are updated until 45 days after the end of the month. Investors should note that it is not possible to invest in this index.
SP 500 TR: The S&P 500 indices are designed to reflect all sectors of the U.S. equity markets. The S&P 500 includes 500 blue chip, large cap stocks, which together represent about 75% of the total U.S. equities market. Companies eligible for addition to the S&P 500 have market capitalization of at least US$3.5 billion. The TR Index accounts for the reinvestment of dividends.
PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. AN INVESTOR COULD POTENTIALLY LOSE MORE THAN THE INITIAL INVESTMENT. AN INVESTOR MUST READ AND UNDERSTAND THE COMMODITY TRADING ADVISOR'S CURRENT DISCLOSURE DOCUMENT BEFORE INVESTING. SELLING OPTIONS INVOLVES UNLIMITED RISK OF LOSS. THERE IS NO GUARANTEE OF PROFIT NO MATTER WHO IS MANAGING YOUR MONEY. THIS MATTER IS INTENDED AS A SOLICITATION TO INVEST IN MANAGED FUTURES.