Statistical Analysis Report

Blue Creek Capital Management
Metals Alpha Program

Report Start Date: Apr-2023 | End Date: Oct-2025

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Set Risk Thresholds

Set Risk-Free ROR for the Sharpe Ratio: Set Minimum Acceptable ROR for the Sortino: Omega Threshold:

Current Return: +1.73%

YTD Return: +43.13%

Annualized Return: +20.04%

AUM: $ 57,003,543

Trading Strategy

Fundamental / Quantitative / Diversified

Program Description

Blue Creek Capital Management, LLC's Metals Alpha Program uses a top-down method, beginning with a fundamental approach, digesting quantitative data, and rounding out with technical analysis.

The Advisor will look to current and future central policy shifts, anticipate economic data trends, and assess the macro landscape at large. Expressing a view in markets will also include an assessment of current and future supply-demand imbalances with a favorable risk/reward ratio in the market.

While Blue Creek is a CTA, Metals Alpha utilizes a quantimental trend & sentiment approach that stems from the Trading Principal's discretion on asset class selection, sizing, and execution. This program trades metals which is assigned specific fundamental triggers and trade structures are designed to limit risk without taking outright short option positions in the market. The Metals Alpha program only trades exchange listed futures and options on futures contracts.

Program Statistics
Peak-to-Valley Drawdown (2)	-13.42%
From Oct 2024 to Dec 2024
Worst Month (Nov 2024)	-10.85%
Current Losing Streak	0%
Average Monthly Return	1.69%
Monthly Std. Deviation	5.74%
Gain Deviation (20 months)	4.06%
Loss Deviation (11 months)	3.07%
Gain to Loss Ratio	1.18
Omega Ratio (5% Threshold)	1.78

Annualized Performance
Compound ROR (1)	20.04%
Standard Deviation	19.89%
Downside Deviation	10.49%
Sharpe Ratio (3) 2% RF ROR	1
Sortino Ratio (4) 5% MAR	1.75
Calmar Ratio (5)
Sterling Ratio (6)	0
Gain Deviation	14.06%
Loss Deviation	10.63%
Profit Loss Ratio	2.15

Investment Information
Program Start Date	Apr-2023
Percent Discretionary	50%
Percent Systematic	50%
Currency Denomination - US Dollars
Minimum Investment	$1,000,000
Management Fee	2.00%
Incentive Fee	0.00
Round Turns per Million	5,000
NFA No:	#0532562
4.7 Exempt - QEPs Only

Performance Since April 2023 | Track Record Compiled By: Turkey Trading Partners | Please See Accounting Notes

	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec	ROR	Max DD
2025	10.35%	-2.76%	8.64%	2.65%	-0.16%	4.26%	3.46%	1.78%	7.28%	1.73%	–	–	43.13%	-2.76%
2024	-6.88%	-6.18%	14.11%	0.54%	11.34%	-2.92%	0.58%	2.03%	8.81%	3.86%	-10.85%	-2.88%	8.78%	-13.42%
2023	–	–	–	1.38%	-4.48%	-5.56%	7.02%	-2.03%	0.03%	-0.98%	5.86%	2.40%	2.95%	-9.79%

Monthly Return and $1,000 VAMI

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. AN INVESTOR COULD POTENTIALLY LOSE MORE THAN THE INITIAL INVESTMENT. AN INVESTOR MUST READ AND UNDERSTAND THE COMMODITY TRADING ADVISOR'S CURRENT DISCLOSURE DOCUMENT BEFORE INVESTING. SELLING OPTIONS INVOLVES UNLIMITED RISK OF LOSS. THERE IS NO GUARANTEE OF PROFIT NO MATTER WHO IS MANAGING YOUR MONEY. THIS MATTER IS INTENDED AS A SOLICITATION TO INVEST IN MANAGED FUTURES.

Ascent Capital Management
311 S. Wacker Drive - Suite 600 * Chicago, IL 60606
Office: 312-283-3350 Email: [email protected] | Web Address: http://www.ascentcm.com
© 1997 - 2025 AutumnGold.com LLC

Blue Creek Capital Management
Metals Alpha Program

Report Start Date: Apr-2023 | End Date: Oct-2025

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Time Window Analysis

Length	Best	Average	Worst
1 mo	14.1%	1.7%	-10.9%
3 mo	27.7%	5%	-10.5%
6 mo	27.3%	10.4%	-6.3%
12 mo	36.2%	21.8%	1.8%
18 mo	63.3%	36.7%	19.1%
24 mo	68.8%	48.4%	30.5%

Drawdowns and Recoveries

Start	End	Drawdown	Recovery
Nov-24	Mar-25	-13.42%	3 mo
Jan-24	Apr-24	-12.64%	2 mo
May-23	Dec-23	-9.79%	6 mo
Jun-24	Sep-24	-2.92%	3 mo
May-25	Jun-25	-0.16%	1 mo

Drawdown Periods Since Apr 2023

Distribution of Monthly Returns

Select a benchmark to add:

Statistical Comparisons	Blue Creek Capital Mgt Metals Alpha Program	AutumnGold AG CTA Index	S&P 500 SP 500 TR

Annualized Compound ROR (1)	20.04%	4.20%	23.53%
Cumulative Return	60.29%	11.22%	72.61%
Cumulative VAMI(7)	1,603	1,112	1,726
Best Monthly Return	14.11%	2.17%	9.13%
Worst Monthly Return	-10.85%	-1.17%	-5.63%
Annual Standard Deviation	19.89%	2.92%	12.16%
Profit Loss Ratio	2.15	3.05	3.43
Correlation	—	0.09	0.02
Last Month	1.73%	1.14%	2.34%
Last 12 Months	23.93%	3.46%	21.46%
Last 36 Months	60.29%	9.73%	84.63%

Growth of $1,000 VAMI Comparison

Blue Creek Capital Management
Metals Alpha Program

Report Start Date: Apr-2023 | End Date: Oct-2025

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Accounting Notes

Pro-Forma Performance is based on metals trades only. The returns are extracted from live trading within Blue Creek's Global Opportunities program by its manager Bill Baruch. It is estimated that metals make up 40% of the program's allocation, and this weighting is reflected in the stated performance.

Other Fees

None

An Important Note on the Start Date and End Date of this Report

If the Start Date of this Report Predates the Inception of the Program, the Maximum Drawdown from Inception may be larger than indicated in this report. Performance Results reported or amended subsequent to Monday December 8, 2025 are not reflected in this Report. Monthly ROR and drawdowns are based on end-of-month values and do not reflect intramonth volatility.

Historical Drawdowns and Recoveries

The drawdown begins in the month listed as "start." Length is in months. Recovery begins the following month and ends when full recovery is reached.

Qualified Eligible Persons

THIS PROGRAM IS ONLY OPEN TO INVESTORS FITTING THE DEFINITION OF A QUALIFIED ELIGIBLE PERSON AS THAT TERM IS DEFINED UNDER CFTC REGULATION 4.7(A). A Qualified Eligible Person must meet the following two requirements:

1. Must be an accredited investor (e.g., $1,000,000 net worth or $200,000 individual income / $300,000 joint income for 2 years).
2. Must meet a portfolio test (e.g., $4,000,000 in securities or $400,000 in required margin deposits).

PURSUANT TO AN EXEMPTION FROM THE COMMODITY FUTURES TRADING COMMISSION ("CFTC") IN CONNECTION WITH ACCOUNTS OF QUALIFIED ELIGIBLE PERSONS, THIS INFORMATION IS NOT REQUIRED TO BE, AND HAS NOT BEEN, FILED WITH THE CFTC. THE CCFTC DOES NOT PASS UPON THE MERITS OF PARTICIPATING IN A TRADING PROGRAM OR UPON THE ADEQUACY OR ACCURACY OF COMMODITY TRADING ADVISOR DISCLOSURE. CONSEQUENTLY, THE CFTC HAS NOT REVIEWED OR APPROVED THIS TRADING PROGRAM OR THIS DOCUMENT.

Statistical Footnotes

1. The Annualized Compounded Rate of Return (ACROR) represents the compounded rate of return for each year or portion thereof presented. It is computed by applying successively respective monthly rate of return for each month beginning with the first month of that period. It smooths out the returns by assuming a constant growth.
2. Peak to Valley Drawdown = worst % loss between Apr-2023 and Oct-2025
3. Sharpe Ratio is calculated using a Risk-Free ROR
4. Sortino Ratio is calculated using a Minimum Acceptable ROR
5. Calmar Ratio uses the last 36 months of data
6. Sterling Ratio uses the last 36 months of data
7. VAMI = Hypothetical growth of $1,000
8. Drawdown/recovery: start = first loss, recovery = full return to prior peak

Benchmark Descriptions

AG CTA Index: The Autumn Gold CTA Index is a Non-Investable Index comprised of the client performance of all CTA programs included in the AG database and does not represent the complete universe of CTAs. CTA programs with proprietary performance are not included. Monthly numbers are updated until 45 days after the end of the month. Investors should note that it is not possible to invest in this index.

SP 500 TR: The S&P 500 indices are designed to reflect all sectors of the U.S. equity markets. The S&P 500 includes 500 blue chip, large cap stocks, which together represent about 75% of the total U.S. equities market. Companies eligible for addition to the S&P 500 have market capitalization of at least US$3.5 billion. The TR Index accounts for the reinvestment of dividends.

This report was prepared from trader-provided information and is believed to be reliable. It should be read alongside each Trader’s Disclosure Document or Fund Offering Document.

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