Statistical Analysis Report

Covenant Capital Mgmt Of Tennessee, LLC
Total Volatility Program

Report Start Date: Jan-2018 | End Date: Oct-2025

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Set Risk Thresholds

Set Risk-Free ROR for the Sharpe Ratio: Set Minimum Acceptable ROR for the Sortino: Omega Threshold:

Current Return: -4.26%

YTD Return: -13.02%

Annualized Return: +5.42%

AUM: $ 1,190,663

Trading Strategy

Volatility / Stock Indices

Program Description

As fear of market declines ebb and flow, inconsistencies form between current and expected volatility of the S&P 500. Total Volatility captures the inconsistencies between 30-day and expected 30-day volatility. The program also analyzes the troughs and bubbles of the longer term VIX structure. When the troughs are too low or the bubbles too high, Total Volatility seizes on these irregularities as well.

Program Statistics
Peak-to-Valley Drawdown (2)	-17.64%
From Mar 2020 to Nov 2022
Worst Month (May 2019)	-13.84%
Current Losing Streak	-15.34%
Average Monthly Return	0.58%
Monthly Std. Deviation	5.51%
Gain Deviation (54 months)	4.84%
Loss Deviation (40 months)	3.22%
Gain to Loss Ratio	1.03
Omega Ratio (5% Threshold)	1.1

Annualized Performance
Compound ROR (1)	5.42%
Standard Deviation	19.08%
Downside Deviation	10.73%
Sharpe Ratio (3) 2% RF ROR	0.35
Sortino Ratio (4) 5% MAR	0.49
Calmar Ratio (5)	-0.11
Sterling Ratio (6)	-0.08
Gain Deviation	16.77%
Loss Deviation	11.15%
Profit Loss Ratio	1.39

Investment Information
Program Start Date	Jan-2018
Percent Systematic	100%
Currency Denomination - US Dollars
Minimum Investment	$200,000
Management Fee	0.00%
Incentive Fee	0.00
Margin	15-20%
Round Turns per Million	650
NFA No:	#295798

Performance Since January 2018 | Please See Accounting Notes

	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec	ROR	Max DD
2025	0.03%	-2.28%	0.97%	-3.35%	-0.37%	-3.06%	1.20%	-3.78%	1.28%	-4.26%	–	–	-13.02%	-13.04%
2024	2.03%	1.37%	0.83%	-4.15%	-0.85%	0.98%	1.24%	4.98%	1.40%	-1.24%	-4.65%	3.36%	4.98%	-5.83%
2023	2.58%	-0.20%	3.06%	3.64%	0.78%	0.00%	0.00%	-2.81%	-0.92%	4.14%	-0.97%	1.77%	11.38%	-3.71%
2022	0.92%	-3.42%	-0.07%	-0.11%	10.32%	0.13%	-0.39%	2.02%	-9.26%	1.77%	-8.84%	2.68%	-5.60%	-15.82%
2021	-11.75%	7.90%	6.98%	-3.05%	3.65%	2.51%	-4.41%	-0.16%	-3.18%	0.01%	-7.21%	4.87%	-5.65%	-14.26%
2020	-3.91%	0.57%	32.08%	-1.70%	-1.50%	-2.72%	-2.13%	-6.29%	5.98%	-3.30%	9.46%	-2.03%	21.19%	-13.61%
2019	7.01%	-0.75%	5.05%	0.63%	-13.84%	5.98%	1.58%	3.16%	8.54%	5.25%	1.04%	-3.18%	20.05%	-13.84%
2018	3.15%	11.77%	-6.41%	0.36%	1.71%	-1.05%	2.73%	1.37%	0.88%	-7.46%	4.74%	3.39%	14.74%	-8.10%

Monthly Return and $1,000 VAMI

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. AN INVESTOR COULD POTENTIALLY LOSE MORE THAN THE INITIAL INVESTMENT. AN INVESTOR MUST READ AND UNDERSTAND THE COMMODITY TRADING ADVISOR'S CURRENT DISCLOSURE DOCUMENT BEFORE INVESTING. SELLING OPTIONS INVOLVES UNLIMITED RISK OF LOSS. THERE IS NO GUARANTEE OF PROFIT NO MATTER WHO IS MANAGING YOUR MONEY. THIS MATTER IS INTENDED AS A SOLICITATION TO INVEST IN MANAGED FUTURES.

Ascent Capital Management
311 S. Wacker Drive - Suite 600 * Chicago, IL 60606
Office: 312-283-3350 Email: [email protected] | Web Address: http://www.ascentcm.com
© 1997 - 2025 AutumnGold.com LLC

Covenant Capital Mgmt Of Tennessee, LLC
Total Volatility Program

Report Start Date: Jan-2018 | End Date: Oct-2025

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Time Window Analysis

Length	Best	Average	Worst
1 mo	32.1%	0.6%	-13.8%
3 mo	30.6%	1.6%	-15.8%
6 mo	31.4%	3.1%	-14.3%
12 mo	53.4%	6.8%	-14.3%
18 mo	63.1%	10.8%	-15.3%
24 mo	62.9%	14.5%	-15%
36 mo	66.9%	17.6%	-10.8%

Drawdowns and Recoveries

Start	End	Drawdown	Recovery
Apr-20	Aug-24	-17.64%	21 mo
Oct-24	n/a	-15.34%	0 mo
May-19	Sep-19	-13.84%	4 mo
Mar-18	Jan-19	-8.10%	3 mo
Dec-19	Mar-20	-6.97%	2 mo
Feb-19	Mar-19	-0.75%	1 mo

Drawdown Periods Since Jan 2018

Distribution of Monthly Returns

Select a benchmark to add:

Statistical Comparisons	Covenant Capital Mgt Total Volatility Program	AutumnGold AG CTA Index	S&P 500 SP 500 TR

Annualized Compound ROR (1)	5.42%	3.38%	14.62%
Cumulative Return	51.22%	29.79%	191.13%
Cumulative VAMI(7)	1,512	1,298	2,911
Best Monthly Return	32.08%	2.99%	12.82%
Worst Monthly Return	-13.84%	-5.53%	-12.35%
Annual Standard Deviation	19.08%	3.92%	16.66%
Profit Loss Ratio	1.39	2.09	1.89
Correlation	—	0.12	-0.04
Last Month	-4.26%	1.14%	2.34%
Last 12 Months	-14.27%	3.46%	21.46%
Last 36 Months	-4.80%	9.73%	84.63%

Growth of $1,000 VAMI Comparison

Covenant Capital Mgmt Of Tennessee, LLC
Total Volatility Program

Report Start Date: Jan-2018 | End Date: Oct-2025

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Accounting Notes

Proprietary Trading from Jan 2018 to Sept 2018. Customer Trading from Oct 2018.

An Important Note on the Start Date and End Date of this Report

If the Start Date of this Report Predates the Inception of the Program, the Maximum Drawdown from Inception may be larger than indicated in this report. Performance Results reported or amended subsequent to Monday December 8, 2025 are not reflected in this Report. Monthly ROR and drawdowns are based on end-of-month values and do not reflect intramonth volatility.

Historical Drawdowns and Recoveries

The drawdown begins in the month listed as "start." Length is in months. Recovery begins the following month and ends when full recovery is reached.

Statistical Footnotes

1. The Annualized Compounded Rate of Return (ACROR) represents the compounded rate of return for each year or portion thereof presented. It is computed by applying successively respective monthly rate of return for each month beginning with the first month of that period. It smooths out the returns by assuming a constant growth.
2. Peak to Valley Drawdown = worst % loss between Jan-2018 and Oct-2025
3. Sharpe Ratio is calculated using a Risk-Free ROR
4. Sortino Ratio is calculated using a Minimum Acceptable ROR
5. Calmar Ratio uses the last 36 months of data
6. Sterling Ratio uses the last 36 months of data
7. VAMI = Hypothetical growth of $1,000
8. Drawdown/recovery: start = first loss, recovery = full return to prior peak

Benchmark Descriptions

AG CTA Index: The Autumn Gold CTA Index is a Non-Investable Index comprised of the client performance of all CTA programs included in the AG database and does not represent the complete universe of CTAs. CTA programs with proprietary performance are not included. Monthly numbers are updated until 45 days after the end of the month. Investors should note that it is not possible to invest in this index.

SP 500 TR: The S&P 500 indices are designed to reflect all sectors of the U.S. equity markets. The S&P 500 includes 500 blue chip, large cap stocks, which together represent about 75% of the total U.S. equities market. Companies eligible for addition to the S&P 500 have market capitalization of at least US$3.5 billion. The TR Index accounts for the reinvestment of dividends.

This report was prepared from trader-provided information and is believed to be reliable. It should be read alongside each Trader’s Disclosure Document or Fund Offering Document.

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