Statistical Analysis Report

O'Brien Investment Group
Quantitative Global Macro Futures

Report Start Date: Jul-2017 | End Date: Nov-2025

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Set Risk Thresholds

Set Risk-Free ROR for the Sharpe Ratio: Set Minimum Acceptable ROR for the Sortino: Omega Threshold:

Current Return: -0.65%

YTD Return: -12.47%

Annualized Return: +3.6%

AUM: $ 19,800,000

Trading Strategy

Quantitative / Global Macro / Diversified

Program Description

The O'Brien Investment Group (OBIG) Quantitative Global Macro Futures Program is a systematic strategy diversified across 45 different financial and commodity futures markets
including global stock indices, global interest rates, currencies, metals, energies, grains, softs and meats. The foundation of the strategy are long-term trend following models seeking to
capture absolute returns. Trend following has historically generated "crisis alpha" during times of stress in the markets. The strategy also incorporates a series of options on futures
models with a goal of smoothing out the return stream and to generate positive returns when implied volatility levels are attractive. The option models will not sell naked short open
positions. Only covered positions or long puts / long call positions are considered.

Program Statistics
Peak-to-Valley Drawdown (2)	-17.45%
From Jan 2025 to Aug 2025
Worst Month (Nov 2022)	-8.23%
Current Losing Streak	-13.41%
Average Monthly Return	0.35%
Monthly Std. Deviation	3.46%
Gain Deviation (54 months)	2.53%
Loss Deviation (47 months)	1.89%
Gain to Loss Ratio	1.14
Omega Ratio (5% Threshold)	0.95

Annualized Performance
Compound ROR (1)	3.6%
Standard Deviation	11.99%
Downside Deviation	7.31%
Sharpe Ratio (3) 2% RF ROR	0.32
Sortino Ratio (4) 5% MAR	0.48
Calmar Ratio (5)	0.09
Sterling Ratio (6)	0.07
Gain Deviation	8.76%
Loss Deviation	6.56%
Profit Loss Ratio	1.31

Investment Information
Program Start Date	Jul-2017
Percent Systematic	100%
Currency Denomination - US Dollar
Minimum Investment	$3,000,000
Management Fee	1.00%
Incentive Fee	0.00
Margin	9.04%
Round Turns per Million	1,200
NFA No:	#0501431

Performance Since July 2017 | Please See Accounting Notes

	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec	ROR	Max DD
2025	1.09%	-5.92%	-2.87%	3.82%	-5.11%	-2.89%	-2.32%	-3.33%	4.12%	1.40%	-0.65%	–	-12.47%	-17.45%
2024	0.00%	9.23%	0.56%	5.15%	-3.42%	1.45%	0.00%	1.13%	4.24%	-6.99%	7.47%	0.10%	19.38%	-6.99%
2023	-2.51%	-0.15%	-4.05%	6.49%	4.56%	-0.04%	-2.04%	-4.38%	3.08%	-3.64%	-2.39%	5.50%	-0.38%	-9.22%
2022	1.99%	3.80%	8.78%	2.89%	-0.26%	0.83%	-3.85%	-0.10%	3.72%	1.20%	-8.23%	0.44%	10.73%	-8.23%
2021	-0.25%	9.78%	-1.28%	3.12%	-2.48%	-1.22%	2.08%	0.57%	3.92%	1.97%	-2.74%	-3.94%	9.12%	-6.58%
2020	-0.30%	0.53%	1.51%	-1.33%	-1.56%	-2.74%	9.72%	-1.12%	-1.35%	1.90%	-2.66%	1.59%	3.64%	-5.53%
2019	1.30%	1.08%	0.93%	2.42%	-1.10%	1.54%	1.39%	2.55%	-1.67%	-1.79%	-0.06%	0.95%	7.69%	-3.49%
2018	5.58%	-5.63%	-0.47%	1.06%	-1.99%	-2.26%	1.25%	2.24%	1.79%	-4.19%	-1.79%	1.80%	-3.11%	-9.85%
2017	–	–	–	–	–	–	0.22%	-1.70%	-4.36%	3.75%	-0.24%	1.54%	-0.98%	-5.99%

Monthly Return and $1,000 VAMI

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. AN INVESTOR COULD POTENTIALLY LOSE MORE THAN THE INITIAL INVESTMENT. AN INVESTOR MUST READ AND UNDERSTAND THE COMMODITY TRADING ADVISOR'S CURRENT DISCLOSURE DOCUMENT BEFORE INVESTING. SELLING OPTIONS INVOLVES UNLIMITED RISK OF LOSS. THERE IS NO GUARANTEE OF PROFIT NO MATTER WHO IS MANAGING YOUR MONEY. THIS MATTER IS INTENDED AS A SOLICITATION TO INVEST IN MANAGED FUTURES.

Ascent Capital Management
311 S. Wacker Drive - Suite 600 * Chicago, IL 60606
Office: 312-283-3350 Email: [email protected] | Web Address: http://www.ascentcm.com
© 1997 - 2025 AutumnGold.com LLC

O'Brien Investment Group
Quantitative Global Macro Futures

Report Start Date: Jul-2017 | End Date: Nov-2025

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Time Window Analysis

Length	Best	Average	Worst
1 mo	9.8%	0.4%	-8.2%
3 mo	16.2%	1.1%	-10.1%
6 mo	19.2%	2.2%	-14.6%
12 mo	25.8%	5.2%	-13.1%
18 mo	31%	8.8%	-11.5%
24 mo	40.2%	12.3%	-1.5%
36 mo	37.5%	19.3%	-4%

Drawdowns and Recoveries

Start	End	Drawdown	Recovery
Feb-25	n/a	-17.45%	3 mo
Nov-22	Feb-24	-13.91%	11 mo
Feb-18	Aug-19	-9.85%	9 mo
Oct-24	Dec-24	-6.99%	2 mo
Nov-21	Mar-22	-6.58%	3 mo
Sep-19	Jul-20	-6.35%	1 mo

Drawdown Periods Since Jul 2017

Distribution of Monthly Returns

Select a benchmark to add:

Statistical Comparisons	O'Brien Investment Group Quantitative Global Macro Futures	AutumnGold AG CTA Index	S&P 500 SP 500 TR

Annualized Compound ROR (1)	3.60%	3.78%	15.04%
Cumulative Return	34.69%	36.64%	225.19%
Cumulative VAMI(7)	1,347	1,366	3,252
Best Monthly Return	9.78%	2.99%	12.82%
Worst Monthly Return	-8.23%	-5.53%	-12.35%
Annual Standard Deviation	11.99%	3.92%	16.09%
Profit Loss Ratio	1.31	2.24	1.97
Correlation	—	0.60	-0.02
Last Month	-0.65%	1.96%	0.25%
Last 12 Months	-12.38%	4.54%	15.01%
Last 36 Months	4.55%	13.22%	75.29%

Growth of $1,000 VAMI Comparison

O'Brien Investment Group
Quantitative Global Macro Futures

Report Start Date: Jul-2017 | End Date: Nov-2025

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Accounting Notes

The strategy was opened up to outside investors in July 2017. The first external managed account began trading July 19, 2017. The performance for July
2017 does not represent a full month. Furthermore, the actual trading results for July 2017 and going forward are pro forma and net of all trading costs to a 1% Management Fee and a
20% Incentive Fee paid quarterly. Separately Managed Account performance can be higher or lower than the below reported performance of the program depending upon several
factors such as commission and fee levels, investment amount, duration, the actual prices received and government taxes (if applicable). The results are based on pro forma adjustments
assuming the above stated fee structure. In reality, accounts may have different fee structures, higher or lower commission rates and can be traded with a higher or lower leverage
which could result in significant different performance in an actual account.

Other Fees

None

An Important Note on the Start Date and End Date of this Report

If the Start Date of this Report Predates the Inception of the Program, the Maximum Drawdown from Inception may be larger than indicated in this report. Performance Results reported or amended subsequent to Monday December 8, 2025 are not reflected in this Report. Monthly ROR and drawdowns are based on end-of-month values and do not reflect intramonth volatility.

Historical Drawdowns and Recoveries

The drawdown begins in the month listed as "start." Length is in months. Recovery begins the following month and ends when full recovery is reached.

Qualified Eligible Persons

THIS PROGRAM IS ONLY OPEN TO INVESTORS FITTING THE DEFINITION OF A QUALIFIED ELIGIBLE PERSON AS THAT TERM IS DEFINED UNDER CFTC REGULATION 4.7(A). A Qualified Eligible Person must meet the following two requirements:

1. Must be an accredited investor (e.g., $1,000,000 net worth or $200,000 individual income / $300,000 joint income for 2 years).
2. Must meet a portfolio test (e.g., $4,000,000 in securities or $400,000 in required margin deposits).

PURSUANT TO AN EXEMPTION FROM THE COMMODITY FUTURES TRADING COMMISSION ("CFTC") IN CONNECTION WITH ACCOUNTS OF QUALIFIED ELIGIBLE PERSONS, THIS INFORMATION IS NOT REQUIRED TO BE, AND HAS NOT BEEN, FILED WITH THE CFTC. THE CCFTC DOES NOT PASS UPON THE MERITS OF PARTICIPATING IN A TRADING PROGRAM OR UPON THE ADEQUACY OR ACCURACY OF COMMODITY TRADING ADVISOR DISCLOSURE. CONSEQUENTLY, THE CFTC HAS NOT REVIEWED OR APPROVED THIS TRADING PROGRAM OR THIS DOCUMENT.

Statistical Footnotes

1. The Annualized Compounded Rate of Return (ACROR) represents the compounded rate of return for each year or portion thereof presented. It is computed by applying successively respective monthly rate of return for each month beginning with the first month of that period. It smooths out the returns by assuming a constant growth.
2. Peak to Valley Drawdown = worst % loss between Jul-2017 and Nov-2025
3. Sharpe Ratio is calculated using a Risk-Free ROR
4. Sortino Ratio is calculated using a Minimum Acceptable ROR
5. Calmar Ratio uses the last 36 months of data
6. Sterling Ratio uses the last 36 months of data
7. VAMI = Hypothetical growth of $1,000
8. Drawdown/recovery: start = first loss, recovery = full return to prior peak

Benchmark Descriptions

AG CTA Index: The Autumn Gold CTA Index is a Non-Investable Index comprised of the client performance of all CTA programs included in the AG database and does not represent the complete universe of CTAs. CTA programs with proprietary performance are not included. Monthly numbers are updated until 45 days after the end of the month. Investors should note that it is not possible to invest in this index.

SP 500 TR: The S&P 500 indices are designed to reflect all sectors of the U.S. equity markets. The S&P 500 includes 500 blue chip, large cap stocks, which together represent about 75% of the total U.S. equities market. Companies eligible for addition to the S&P 500 have market capitalization of at least US$3.5 billion. The TR Index accounts for the reinvestment of dividends.

This report was prepared from trader-provided information and is believed to be reliable. It should be read alongside each Trader’s Disclosure Document or Fund Offering Document.

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