Crabel Capital Management, LLC
Advanced Trend Program
Report Start Date: Apr-2014 | End Date: Oct-2025
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Current Return: +1.27%
YTD Return: -1.13%
Annualized Return: +6.44%
AUM: $ 2,146,000,000
Trading Strategy

Trend Following / Algorithmic / Diversified

Program Description

The Advanced Trend Program is designed to capture long-term classic managed futures trend following returns in an efficient manner. While pursuing a high correlation to longer term trend following, this is not a "replication" vehicle. Leveraging low latency algorithmic execution and an on-going research initiative, the program seeks to consistently improve on producing best-thinking in trend capture in liquid markets. An annualized volatility of 12% is targeted for the program. Risk manage- ment is incorporated within the portfolio and strategy designs of the program. All strategies have stop loss provisions. Risk is allocated to four sectors: stock indices, interest rates, foreign currencies and commodities with a top down sector limit of 40%. Within each sector, risk is allocated as evenly as liquidity permits to the North American, European and Asian geographic regions and likewise as equally as possible to the individual markets within those sectors/regions. The opportunity seen in one sector relative to another could weight one sector more highly than another for a portion of time, assuming equal opportunity the sectors pursue an equal risk balance.

Program Statistics
Peak-to-Valley Drawdown (2) -28.49%
    From Feb 2016 to Jan 2019
Worst Month (Feb 2018) -10.68%
Current Losing Streak -19.63%
Average Monthly Return 0.62%
Monthly Std. Deviation 4.57%
Gain Deviation (73 months) 3.15%
Loss Deviation (66 months) 2.47%
Gain to Loss Ratio 1.28
Omega Ratio (5% Threshold) 1.12
Annualized Performance
Compound ROR (1) 6.44%
Standard Deviation15.83%
Downside Deviation9.5%
Sharpe Ratio (3) 2% RF ROR 0.45
Sortino Ratio (4) 5% MAR 0.65
Calmar Ratio (5)-0.24
Sterling Ratio (6) -0.26
Gain Deviation10.91%
Loss Deviation8.56%
Profit Loss Ratio1.42
Investment Information
Program Start Date Apr-2014
Percent Systematic 100%
Currency Denomination - US Dollar
Minimum Investment $10,000,000
Minimum Fund Investment $1,000,000
Management Fee 1.00%
Incentive Fee 0.00
Round Turns per Million 500
NFA No: #0463817

Performance Since April 2014
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecROR Max DD
20250.39%-2.45%-1.40%-6.41%-1.08%-0.50%0.54%3.34%5.63%1.27%-1.13%-11.39%
20240.80%5.75%5.88%0.96%-0.66%-3.44%-3.40%-7.10%2.05%-6.12%1.15%0.27%-4.69%-17.53%
2023-2.59%2.21%-5.48%2.15%2.46%3.05%-0.24%-0.83%2.73%0.74%-5.13%-3.66%-5.01%-8.60%
20222.57%3.18%8.61%6.07%-0.53%4.12%-4.81%5.99%8.38%-1.97%-7.86%-0.60%23.97%-10.22%
2021-0.67%3.51%0.51%3.18%2.81%-4.41%-3.15%-0.74%-1.81%8.15%-7.99%1.52%-0.08%-10.21%
20205.41%4.36%7.71%-0.25%-4.42%-2.21%2.40%-0.96%-2.45%-0.40%4.89%8.24%23.57%-8.14%
2019-6.81%0.36%6.22%1.21%3.60%-0.03%5.03%8.62%-4.94%-5.79%0.99%-3.69%3.48%-12.89%
20188.86%-10.68%-0.30%0.54%-7.31%-0.23%-1.50%2.98%-1.07%-3.95%-2.15%1.28%-13.90%-21.91%
2017-3.01%4.86%-1.53%-3.06%-0.82%-2.99%3.11%1.91%-1.62%5.83%2.30%2.86%7.52%-8.16%
20168.33%2.66%-5.85%-5.16%0.32%6.22%1.67%-4.26%-0.08%-5.44%-6.40%1.21%-7.80%-18.09%
201515.17%-1.24%4.02%-4.91%1.21%-5.79%5.80%-0.93%3.85%-4.24%1.87%-1.01%12.76%-9.33%
2014-0.23%1.63%1.26%-3.79%4.90%8.27%8.99%13.59%8.69%50.97%-3.79%
   Monthly Return and $1,000 VAMI

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. AN INVESTOR COULD POTENTIALLY LOSE MORE THAN THE INITIAL INVESTMENT. AN INVESTOR MUST READ AND UNDERSTAND THE COMMODITY TRADING ADVISOR'S CURRENT DISCLOSURE DOCUMENT BEFORE INVESTING. SELLING OPTIONS INVOLVES UNLIMITED RISK OF LOSS. THERE IS NO GUARANTEE OF PROFIT NO MATTER WHO IS MANAGING YOUR MONEY. THIS MATTER IS INTENDED AS A SOLICITATION TO INVEST IN MANAGED FUTURES.


Ascent Capital Management
311 S. Wacker Drive - Suite 600 * Chicago, IL 60606
Office: 312-283-3350 Email: [email protected] | Web Address: http://www.ascentcm.com
© 1997 - 2025 AutumnGold.com LLC
Crabel Capital Management, LLC
Advanced Trend Program
Report Start Date: Apr-2014 | End Date: Oct-2025
Time Window Analysis
Length Best Average Worst
1 mo 15.2% 0.6% -10.7%
3 mo 42.2% 1.9% -13.3%
6 mo 76% 3.9% -18.4%
12 mo 78.6% 6.4% -26.3%
18 mo 86.7% 8.3% -21.3%
24 mo 85.4% 10.6% -20.7%
36 mo 62.6% 15.8% -28.2%
Drawdowns and Recoveries
Start End Drawdown Recovery
Mar-16Feb-21-28.49%25 mo
Oct-22n/a-27.69%4 mo
Jun-21Mar-22-10.21%4 mo
Apr-15Jan-16-9.33%7 mo
Jul-22Aug-22-4.81%1 mo
Jul-14Aug-14-3.79%1 mo
Drawdown Periods Since Apr 2014
Distribution of Monthly Returns
Statistical Comparisons Crabel Capital Mgt, LLC
Advanced Trend Program
AutumnGold
AG CTA Index
Remove
S&P 500
SP 500 TR
Remove
Annualized Compound ROR (1)6.44%3.08%13.86%
Cumulative Return105.99%42.10%349.63%
Cumulative VAMI(7)2,0601,4214,496
Best Monthly Return15.17%2.99%12.82%
Worst Monthly Return-10.68%-5.53%-12.35%
Annual Standard Deviation15.83%3.98%14.68%
Profit Loss Ratio1.421.872.02
Correlation0.68-0.16
Last Month1.27%1.14%2.34%
Last 12 Months0.28%3.46%21.46%
Last 36 Months-18.02%9.73%84.63%
Growth of $1,000 VAMI Comparison

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. AN INVESTOR COULD POTENTIALLY LOSE MORE THAN THE INITIAL INVESTMENT. AN INVESTOR MUST READ AND UNDERSTAND THE COMMODITY TRADING ADVISOR'S CURRENT DISCLOSURE DOCUMENT BEFORE INVESTING. SELLING OPTIONS INVOLVES UNLIMITED RISK OF LOSS. THERE IS NO GUARANTEE OF PROFIT NO MATTER WHO IS MANAGING YOUR MONEY. THIS MATTER IS INTENDED AS A SOLICITATION TO INVEST IN MANAGED FUTURES.


Ascent Capital Management
311 S. Wacker Drive - Suite 600 * Chicago, IL 60606
Office: 312-283-3350 Email: [email protected] | Web Address: http://www.ascentcm.com
© 1997 - 2025 AutumnGold.com LLC
Crabel Capital Management, LLC
Advanced Trend Program
Report Start Date: Apr-2014 | End Date: Oct-2025
An Important Note on the Start Date and End Date of this Report

If the Start Date of this Report Predates the Inception of the Program, the Maximum Drawdown from Inception may be larger than indicated in this report. Performance Results reported or amended subsequent to Monday December 8, 2025 are not reflected in this Report. Monthly ROR and drawdowns are based on end-of-month values and do not reflect intramonth volatility.

Historical Drawdowns and Recoveries

The drawdown begins in the month listed as "start." Length is in months. Recovery begins the following month and ends when full recovery is reached.

Statistical Footnotes
1. The Annualized Compounded Rate of Return (ACROR) represents the compounded rate of return for each year or portion thereof presented. It is computed by applying successively respective monthly rate of return for each month beginning with the first month of that period. It smooths out the returns by assuming a constant growth.
2. Peak to Valley Drawdown = worst % loss between Apr-2014 and Oct-2025
3. Sharpe Ratio is calculated using a Risk-Free ROR
4. Sortino Ratio is calculated using a Minimum Acceptable ROR
5. Calmar Ratio uses the last 36 months of data
6. Sterling Ratio uses the last 36 months of data
7. VAMI = Hypothetical growth of $1,000
8. Drawdown/recovery: start = first loss, recovery = full return to prior peak

Benchmark Descriptions

AG CTA Index: The Autumn Gold CTA Index is a Non-Investable Index comprised of the client performance of all CTA programs included in the AG database and does not represent the complete universe of CTAs. CTA programs with proprietary performance are not included. Monthly numbers are updated until 45 days after the end of the month. Investors should note that it is not possible to invest in this index.

SP 500 TR: The S&P 500 indices are designed to reflect all sectors of the U.S. equity markets. The S&P 500 includes 500 blue chip, large cap stocks, which together represent about 75% of the total U.S. equities market. Companies eligible for addition to the S&P 500 have market capitalization of at least US$3.5 billion. The TR Index accounts for the reinvestment of dividends.

This report was prepared from trader-provided information and is believed to be reliable. It should be read alongside each Trader’s Disclosure Document or Fund Offering Document.

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. AN INVESTOR COULD POTENTIALLY LOSE MORE THAN THE INITIAL INVESTMENT. AN INVESTOR MUST READ AND UNDERSTAND THE COMMODITY TRADING ADVISOR'S CURRENT DISCLOSURE DOCUMENT BEFORE INVESTING. SELLING OPTIONS INVOLVES UNLIMITED RISK OF LOSS. THERE IS NO GUARANTEE OF PROFIT NO MATTER WHO IS MANAGING YOUR MONEY. THIS MATTER IS INTENDED AS A SOLICITATION TO INVEST IN MANAGED FUTURES.


Ascent Capital Management
311 S. Wacker Drive - Suite 600 * Chicago, IL 60606
Office: 312-283-3350 Email: [email protected] | Web Address: http://www.ascentcm.com
© 1997 - 2025 AutumnGold.com LLC
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