Molinero Capital Mgt LLP
Global Markets Program
Report Start Date: Jul-2005 | End Date: Oct-2025
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Current Return: +3.84%
YTD Return: +3.59%
Annualized Return: +3.79%
AUM: Not reported
Trading Strategy

Systematic (Statistics & Probability)

Program Description

We employ quantitative algorithms derived from mathematics and physics such as digital signal processing and noise reduction techniques. The algorithms decompose market price series into a complex sum of individual linear and non-linear components representing both market "signal" and "noise". After extracting noise, models statistically project the highest probability directional move. Trade duration is adaptive and reflects the market's estimated frequency. A variety of risk management techniques are imbedded in the models including active stop losses which attempt to mitigate downside risk. The strategy's diversified portfolio comprises futures and forwards in currencies, interest rates, equities and commodities.

Program Statistics
Peak-to-Valley Drawdown (2) -34.28%
    From Feb 2016 to Jan 2019
Worst Month (Feb 2018) -8.95%
Current Losing Streak -7.46%
Average Monthly Return 0.37%
Monthly Std. Deviation 3.46%
Gain Deviation (127 months) 2.47%
Loss Deviation (117 months) 1.93%
Gain to Loss Ratio 1.22
Omega Ratio (5% Threshold) 0.97
Annualized Performance
Compound ROR (1) 3.79%
Standard Deviation12%
Downside Deviation7.37%
Sharpe Ratio (3) 2% RF ROR 0.34
Sortino Ratio (4) 5% MAR 0.5
Calmar Ratio (5)0.13
Sterling Ratio (6) 0.09
Gain Deviation8.57%
Loss Deviation6.69%
Profit Loss Ratio1.32
Investment Information
Program Start Date Jul-2005
Percent Systematic 100%
Currency Denomination - US Dollars
Minimum Investment $3,000,000
Management Fee 2.00%
Incentive Fee 0.00
Margin 12%
Round Turns per Million 900
NFA No: #0392936
4.7 Exempt - QEP Investors Only

Performance Since July 2005 | Please See Accounting Notes
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecROR Max DD
2025-0.04%0.30%2.18%0.02%-0.78%-1.14%-0.03%-1.65%0.94%3.84%3.59%-3.56%
20241.81%1.71%-0.96%3.48%-0.77%1.35%0.05%-2.40%0.08%-2.05%-2.86%0.28%-0.49%-7.07%
20230.90%-0.34%-2.51%8.92%1.94%-4.82%0.03%1.33%-0.56%-2.81%-3.05%-0.68%-2.29%-10.23%
20223.50%11.74%8.34%6.43%-3.77%-0.94%-0.67%-1.03%4.33%0.39%1.92%1.76%35.74%-6.29%
20213.82%-0.32%-2.72%5.20%-0.18%-1.74%-0.71%-1.65%-1.21%3.52%-6.74%0.97%-2.32%-8.65%
20201.58%4.41%5.35%0.08%-1.04%-0.83%-0.09%0.90%2.60%0.23%-4.62%4.08%12.94%-4.62%
2019-6.92%0.08%5.95%1.51%4.46%-1.36%0.69%8.38%-7.70%-4.46%-1.27%1.02%-0.92%-12.94%
20188.30%-8.95%-1.31%-1.19%-0.75%0.46%0.26%1.75%-0.59%-4.70%-2.95%1.54%-8.68%-16.96%
20171.76%0.40%-1.66%-2.61%-0.92%-1.94%2.35%-2.80%0.40%4.70%2.20%1.22%2.87%-7.43%
20166.46%2.98%-6.19%-4.59%-2.86%1.77%-1.13%-3.51%-2.71%-6.41%-2.23%0.00%-17.59%-24.84%
201511.38%1.12%2.45%-6.08%1.79%-6.60%6.23%-0.47%2.18%-5.43%5.12%-3.01%7.31%-10.72%
2014-4.26%0.52%-0.21%-1.38%0.00%0.04%0.06%1.05%5.65%1.14%8.71%4.94%16.79%-5.29%
20132.05%1.46%-1.37%5.27%-3.49%-0.43%-2.18%-2.08%-1.59%2.97%1.74%1.21%3.24%-9.43%
2012-1.59%-6.31%-1.91%-1.46%8.58%-6.60%2.18%-2.98%4.09%-3.27%2.05%4.10%-4.15%-10.88%
2011-0.66%3.41%-0.85%4.73%-3.66%-3.11%2.70%-1.12%-2.42%-4.67%-2.54%0.34%-8.02%-14.06%
2010-2.92%-1.59%4.85%1.35%-2.70%-3.09%1.64%1.96%3.80%2.95%-1.51%4.50%9.11%-5.71%
20091.00%4.09%-1.66%-6.38%-3.31%-0.56%-1.12%1.07%0.66%-0.89%2.32%-2.24%-7.20%-12.47%
2008-0.05%6.13%-1.16%-4.72%-0.11%3.78%0.08%-2.06%0.33%4.74%4.18%-0.26%10.83%-5.93%
20074.87%-2.38%-0.73%4.76%5.22%1.67%-3.18%-3.28%4.99%4.96%-2.01%-0.32%14.80%-6.36%
20063.70%-0.57%3.33%4.62%-3.60%0.02%-3.13%2.24%-0.33%3.94%0.86%6.00%17.91%-6.60%
20052.37%-0.74%5.12%-3.92%2.73%0.86%6.33%-3.92%
   Monthly Return and $1,000 VAMI

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. AN INVESTOR COULD POTENTIALLY LOSE MORE THAN THE INITIAL INVESTMENT. AN INVESTOR MUST READ AND UNDERSTAND THE COMMODITY TRADING ADVISOR'S CURRENT DISCLOSURE DOCUMENT BEFORE INVESTING. SELLING OPTIONS INVOLVES UNLIMITED RISK OF LOSS. THERE IS NO GUARANTEE OF PROFIT NO MATTER WHO IS MANAGING YOUR MONEY. THIS MATTER IS INTENDED AS A SOLICITATION TO INVEST IN MANAGED FUTURES.


Ascent Capital Management
311 S. Wacker Drive - Suite 600 * Chicago, IL 60606
Office: 312-283-3350 Email: [email protected] | Web Address: http://www.ascentcm.com
© 1997 - 2025 AutumnGold.com LLC
Molinero Capital Mgt LLP
Global Markets Program
Report Start Date: Jul-2005 | End Date: Oct-2025
Time Window Analysis
Length Best Average Worst
1 mo 11.7% 0.4% -9%
3 mo 28.8% 1.1% -13.1%
6 mo 37.3% 2.2% -16.1%
12 mo 40.3% 4.2% -23.2%
18 mo 49.2% 6.5% -28.9%
24 mo 43.6% 8.3% -24.5%
36 mo 53% 11.8% -34.2%
Drawdowns and Recoveries
Start End Drawdown Recovery
Mar-16Apr-22-34.28%39 mo
May-11Jan-15-23.15%33 mo
Mar-09Apr-11-15.67%14 mo
Jun-23n/a-11.72%2 mo
Apr-15Feb-16-10.72%8 mo
May-06Dec-06-6.60%5 mo
Drawdown Periods Since Jul 2005
Distribution of Monthly Returns
Statistical Comparisons Molinero Capital Mgt LLP
Global Markets Program
AutumnGold
AG CTA Index
Remove
S&P 500
SP 500 TR
Remove
Annualized Compound ROR (1)3.79%4.70%11.10%
Cumulative Return113.17%154.56%750.13%
Cumulative VAMI(7)2,1322,5468,501
Best Monthly Return11.74%6.41%12.82%
Worst Monthly Return-8.95%-5.53%-16.80%
Annual Standard Deviation12.00%4.89%15.01%
Profit Loss Ratio1.322.161.78
Correlation0.58-0.15
Last Month3.84%1.14%2.34%
Last 12 Months0.90%3.46%21.46%
Last 36 Months4.47%9.73%84.63%
Growth of $1,000 VAMI Comparison

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. AN INVESTOR COULD POTENTIALLY LOSE MORE THAN THE INITIAL INVESTMENT. AN INVESTOR MUST READ AND UNDERSTAND THE COMMODITY TRADING ADVISOR'S CURRENT DISCLOSURE DOCUMENT BEFORE INVESTING. SELLING OPTIONS INVOLVES UNLIMITED RISK OF LOSS. THERE IS NO GUARANTEE OF PROFIT NO MATTER WHO IS MANAGING YOUR MONEY. THIS MATTER IS INTENDED AS A SOLICITATION TO INVEST IN MANAGED FUTURES.


Ascent Capital Management
311 S. Wacker Drive - Suite 600 * Chicago, IL 60606
Office: 312-283-3350 Email: [email protected] | Web Address: http://www.ascentcm.com
© 1997 - 2025 AutumnGold.com LLC
Molinero Capital Mgt LLP
Global Markets Program
Report Start Date: Jul-2005 | End Date: Oct-2025
Accounting Notes

Performance from July 2005 to mid November 2007 reflects actual trading performance of the program while Mr. Molinero was a proprietary portfolio manager at Rotella Capital Management. During this period 2/20 fees were imputed. From November 2007, the track record represents the composite net performance of all our accounts. The track record has been fully continuous since July 2005. Please note that AUM history has not been provided.

An Important Note on the Start Date and End Date of this Report

If the Start Date of this Report Predates the Inception of the Program, the Maximum Drawdown from Inception may be larger than indicated in this report. Performance Results reported or amended subsequent to Monday December 8, 2025 are not reflected in this Report. Monthly ROR and drawdowns are based on end-of-month values and do not reflect intramonth volatility.

Historical Drawdowns and Recoveries

The drawdown begins in the month listed as "start." Length is in months. Recovery begins the following month and ends when full recovery is reached.

Qualified Eligible Persons

THIS PROGRAM IS ONLY OPEN TO INVESTORS FITTING THE DEFINITION OF A QUALIFIED ELIGIBLE PERSON AS THAT TERM IS DEFINED UNDER CFTC REGULATION 4.7(A). A Qualified Eligible Person must meet the following two requirements:

    1. Must be an accredited investor (e.g., $1,000,000 net worth or $200,000 individual income / $300,000 joint income for 2 years).
    2. Must meet a portfolio test (e.g., $4,000,000 in securities or $400,000 in required margin deposits).

PURSUANT TO AN EXEMPTION FROM THE COMMODITY FUTURES TRADING COMMISSION ("CFTC") IN CONNECTION WITH ACCOUNTS OF QUALIFIED ELIGIBLE PERSONS, THIS INFORMATION IS NOT REQUIRED TO BE, AND HAS NOT BEEN, FILED WITH THE CFTC. THE CCFTC DOES NOT PASS UPON THE MERITS OF PARTICIPATING IN A TRADING PROGRAM OR UPON THE ADEQUACY OR ACCURACY OF COMMODITY TRADING ADVISOR DISCLOSURE. CONSEQUENTLY, THE CFTC HAS NOT REVIEWED OR APPROVED THIS TRADING PROGRAM OR THIS DOCUMENT.

Statistical Footnotes
1. The Annualized Compounded Rate of Return (ACROR) represents the compounded rate of return for each year or portion thereof presented. It is computed by applying successively respective monthly rate of return for each month beginning with the first month of that period. It smooths out the returns by assuming a constant growth.
2. Peak to Valley Drawdown = worst % loss between Jul-2005 and Oct-2025
3. Sharpe Ratio is calculated using a Risk-Free ROR
4. Sortino Ratio is calculated using a Minimum Acceptable ROR
5. Calmar Ratio uses the last 36 months of data
6. Sterling Ratio uses the last 36 months of data
7. VAMI = Hypothetical growth of $1,000
8. Drawdown/recovery: start = first loss, recovery = full return to prior peak

Benchmark Descriptions

AG CTA Index: The Autumn Gold CTA Index is a Non-Investable Index comprised of the client performance of all CTA programs included in the AG database and does not represent the complete universe of CTAs. CTA programs with proprietary performance are not included. Monthly numbers are updated until 45 days after the end of the month. Investors should note that it is not possible to invest in this index.

SP 500 TR: The S&P 500 indices are designed to reflect all sectors of the U.S. equity markets. The S&P 500 includes 500 blue chip, large cap stocks, which together represent about 75% of the total U.S. equities market. Companies eligible for addition to the S&P 500 have market capitalization of at least US$3.5 billion. The TR Index accounts for the reinvestment of dividends.

This report was prepared from trader-provided information and is believed to be reliable. It should be read alongside each Trader’s Disclosure Document or Fund Offering Document.

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. AN INVESTOR COULD POTENTIALLY LOSE MORE THAN THE INITIAL INVESTMENT. AN INVESTOR MUST READ AND UNDERSTAND THE COMMODITY TRADING ADVISOR'S CURRENT DISCLOSURE DOCUMENT BEFORE INVESTING. SELLING OPTIONS INVOLVES UNLIMITED RISK OF LOSS. THERE IS NO GUARANTEE OF PROFIT NO MATTER WHO IS MANAGING YOUR MONEY. THIS MATTER IS INTENDED AS A SOLICITATION TO INVEST IN MANAGED FUTURES.


Ascent Capital Management
311 S. Wacker Drive - Suite 600 * Chicago, IL 60606
Office: 312-283-3350 Email: [email protected] | Web Address: http://www.ascentcm.com
© 1997 - 2025 AutumnGold.com LLC
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