Autumn Gold Retail Report
Report Start Date: Feb-2023 - Report End Date: Oct-2025
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HiProb Capital Management LLC - Neutral A
Trading Strategy: Index Option Spreads / Plus Box Option Spreads
Investment Restrictions: 4.7 Exempt - QEPs Only

Performance Since February 2023 | Track Record Compiled By: Unkar Systems | Please See Accounting Notes
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecROR Max DD
20250.55%0.71%0.83%5.03%0.43%1.55%1.19%0.98%1.35%-0.41%12.80%-0.41%
20240.38%0.96%0.52%0.60%0.59%0.61%0.78%-0.62%0.87%0.72%0.66%1.07%7.36%-0.62%
20230.83%1.66%1.23%0.88%0.60%1.00%0.87%0.91%1.02%0.38%0.57%10.41%0.00%

Program Description: Neutral-A is an extension of Neutral and augments it by collecting the risk-free rate on unused cash required as collateral. Since February 2023, Neutral-A has added box spreads on S&P 500 futures on top of Neutral to generate extra 'risk-free' profits of about 4-5% per year. A box option spread is a "risk-free" arbitrage strategy to capture the benefits of Fed Funds interest rate.

Program Statistics
Peak-to-Valley Drawdown (2) -0.62%
   From Jul 2024 to Aug 2024
Worst Month (Aug 2024) -0.62%
Current Losing Streak -0.41%
Average Monthly Return 0.9%
Annualized Performance
Compound ROR (1) 11.32%
Standard Deviation2.98%
Sharpe Ratio3.49
Sterling Ratio0
Calmar Ratio (3)N/A


PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. AN INVESTOR COULD POTENTIALLY LOSE MORE THAN THE INITIAL INVESTMENT. AN INVESTOR MUST READ AND UNDERSTAND THE COMMODITY TRADING ADVISOR'S CURRENT DISCLOSURE DOCUMENT BEFORE INVESTING. SELLING OPTIONS INVOLVES UNLIMITED RISK OF LOSS. THERE IS NO GUARANTEE OF PROFIT NO MATTER WHO IS MANAGING YOUR MONEY. THIS MATTER IS INTENDED AS A SOLICITATION TO INVEST IN MANAGED FUTURES.


Autumn Gold Retail Report
Report Start Date: Feb-2023 - Report End Date: Oct-2025
Print to PDF


Investment Information


Program Start Date Feb-2023
Currency Denomination US Dollar
Minimum Investment $500,000
Management Fee 0.00%
Incentive Fee 0.00%
Margin 10% to 30%
Round Turns per Million 60,000
NFA No: #0500593
Trading Methodology

95% Systematic
5% Discretionary
Trading Style
80% Spread Trading
20% Arbitrage
Hedging
Market Segment

100% Stock Indices
Statistical Comparisons HiProb Capital Mgt
Neutral A
AutumnGold
AG CTA Index
Remove
S&P 500
SP 500 TR
Remove
Annualized Compound ROR (1)11.32%3.66%22.46%
Cumulative Return35.51%10.40%74.59%
Cumulative VAMI(7)1,3551,1041,746
Best Monthly Return5.03%2.17%9.13%
Worst Monthly Return-0.62%-1.17%-5.63%
Annual Standard Deviation2.98%2.89%12.11%
Profit Loss Ratio30.752.683.25
Correlation-0.14-0.16
Last Month-0.41%1.14%2.34%
Last 12 Months15.55%3.46%21.46%
Last 24 Months23.44%8.99%67.63%
Last 36 Months35.51%9.73%84.63%



Growth of $1,000 VAMI Comparison

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. AN INVESTOR COULD POTENTIALLY LOSE MORE THAN THE INITIAL INVESTMENT. AN INVESTOR MUST READ AND UNDERSTAND THE COMMODITY TRADING ADVISOR'S CURRENT DISCLOSURE DOCUMENT BEFORE INVESTING. SELLING OPTIONS INVOLVES UNLIMITED RISK OF LOSS. THERE IS NO GUARANTEE OF PROFIT NO MATTER WHO IS MANAGING YOUR MONEY. THIS MATTER IS INTENDED AS A SOLICITATION TO INVEST IN MANAGED FUTURES.


Autumn Gold Retail Report
Report Start Date: Feb-2023 - Report End Date: Oct-2025
Print to PDF


Accounting Notes
The rates of monthly return are calculated in accordance with CFTC Regulation 4.35 and NFA rule 2-34, net of all fees.

An Important Note on the Start Date and End Date of this Report
If the Start Date of this Report Predates the Inception of the Program, the Maximum Drawdown from Inception may be larger than indicated in this report. Performance Results reported or amended subsequent to Friday December 5, 2025 are not reflected in this Report. Monthly ROR and drawdowns are based on end-of-month values and do not reflect intramonth volatility.

Historical Drawdowns and Recoveries
The drawdown begins in the month listed as "start." Length is in months. Recovery begins the following month and ends when full recovery is reached.

Qualified Eligible Persons: THIS PROGRAM IS ONLY OPEN TO INVESTORS FITTING THE DEFINITION OF A QUALIFIED ELIGIBLE PERSON AS THAT TERM IS DEFINED UNDER CFTC REGULATION 4.7(A). A Qualified Eligible Person must meet the following two requirements:

    1. Must be an accredited investor (e.g., $1,000,000 net worth or $200,000 individual income / $300,000 joint income for 2 years).
    2. Must meet a portfolio test (e.g., $4,000,000 in securities or $400,000 in required margin deposits).

PURSUANT TO AN EXEMPTION FROM THE COMMODITY FUTURES TRADING COMMISSION ("CFTC") IN CONNECTION WITH ACCOUNTS OF QUALIFIED ELIGIBLE PERSONS, THIS INFORMATION IS NOT REQUIRED TO BE, AND HAS NOT BEEN, FILED WITH THE CFTC. THE CCFTC DOES NOT PASS UPON THE MERITS OF PARTICIPATING IN A TRADING PROGRAM OR UPON THE ADEQUACY OR ACCURACY OF COMMODITY TRADING ADVISOR DISCLOSURE. CONSEQUENTLY, THE CFTC HAS NOT REVIEWED OR APPROVED THIS TRADING PROGRAM OR THIS DOCUMENT.

Statistical Footnotes
1) The Annualized Compounded Rate of Return (ACROR) represents the compounded rate of return for each year or portion thereof presented. It is computed by applying successively respective monthly rate of return for each month beginning with the first month of that period. It smooths out the returns by assuming a constant growth.
2) Peak to Valley Drawdown = worst % loss between Feb-2023 and Oct-2025
3) Calmar Ratio uses the last 36 months of data.

Benchmark Descriptions

AG CTA Index: The Autumn Gold CTA Index is a Non-Investable Index comprised of the client performance of all CTA programs included in the AG database and does not represent the complete universe of CTAs. CTA programs with proprietary performance are not included. Monthly numbers are updated until 45 days after the end of the month. Investors should note that it is not possible to invest in this index.

SP 500 TR: The S&P 500 indices are designed to reflect all sectors of the U.S. equity markets. The S&P 500 includes 500 blue chip, large cap stocks, which together represent about 75% of the total U.S. equities market. Companies eligible for addition to the S&P 500 have market capitalization of at least US$3.5 billion. The TR Index accounts for the reinvestment of dividends.

This report was prepared from trader-provided information and is believed to be reliable. It should be read alongside each Trader’s Disclosure Document or Fund Offering Document.

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. AN INVESTOR COULD POTENTIALLY LOSE MORE THAN THE INITIAL INVESTMENT. AN INVESTOR MUST READ AND UNDERSTAND THE COMMODITY TRADING ADVISOR'S CURRENT DISCLOSURE DOCUMENT BEFORE INVESTING. SELLING OPTIONS INVOLVES UNLIMITED RISK OF LOSS. THERE IS NO GUARANTEE OF PROFIT NO MATTER WHO IS MANAGING YOUR MONEY. THIS MATTER IS INTENDED AS A SOLICITATION TO INVEST IN MANAGED FUTURES.