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Manager List    »    HiProb Capital Management LLC    »   

HiProb Capital Management LLC - Neutral A



Principal(s): Chuan Wang
Strategy: Index Option Spreads / Plus Box Option Spreads
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Investment Restrictions: 4.7 Exempt - QEPs Only++
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Statistics & Program Information

Mar Return   0.83% Worst Drawdown (2)    -2.17% Minimum Investment   $500,000
YTD Return   2.10% Losing Streak (3)    0.00 % AUM (5)   $4,250,000
Annualized CROR:1 11.10% Sharpe Ratio (4)   3.05 Calmar Ratio (6)    13.77
Trading Methodology
95% Systematic
5% Discretionary
Style Sub-Categories
Arbitrage
Option Spread
Quantitative
Absolute Return
Trading Style
80% Spread Trading
20% Arbitrage
Hedging
Market Sector
100% Stock Indices
Holding Period
10% Long Term
5% Medium Term
45% Short Term
40% Intraday
Geographic Sector
US
Contracts:
Options

Start Date   Sep-2015 Currency   US Dollar Margin (7)   10% to 30%
New Money   Yes AUM (5)   $4,250,000 Management Fee    0.00%
Min Investment    $500,000 Annualized CROR 1    11.10% Incentive Fee    0.00%
Fund Minimum    $0 Losing Streak (3)    0.00 % Other Fees   no
Notional Funds    No Worst Drawdown (2)    -2.17 % Avg Comm (8)   $0.25
NFA Member    Yes Sharpe Ratio (4)    3.05 Max Comm (9)   $0.30
NFA Number    0500593 Calmar Ratio (6)    13.77 Round Turns (10)    60,000
Starting Date:  Sep-2015 Currency:  US Dollar
Open to New Investors:  Yes Current Assets:  $4,250,000
Open to US Investors:  Yes Annualized CROR:  11.10%
Minimum Fund Investment:  $0 Worst Monthly Drawdown:  -2.17
Minimum Managed Account:  $500,000 Current Losing Streak:  0.00 %
Domocile:   Calmar:  13.77
Subscriptions:  N/A Sharpe Ratio:  3.05
Redemptions:  N/A US Attorney:  Not Listed
Lock Up:  N/A Offshore Attorney:  Not Listed
Hurdle Rate:  N/A Administrator:  Not Listed
Administraton Fee:  0.00% Prime Broker:  Not Listed
Management Fee:  0.00% Auditor:  Not Listed
Incentive Fee:  0.00% NFA Member:  Yes
Selling Fee:  0.00% FINRA Member:  No
Other Fees:  no Other Memberships:  None
Type of Fund:
Domicile:
Strategy:
Track Record Prepared By: Unkar Systems
Correlations: AG CTA Index: -0.028              AG Systematic CTA Index: 0.025             

Trading Description, Risk Strategy & Background

Neutral-A is an extension of Neutral and augments it by collecting the risk-free fed rate on unused cash required as collateral. Since February 2023, Neutral-A has added box spreads on S&P 500 futures on top of Neutral to generate extra 'risk-free' profits of about 4-5% per year. A box option spread is a "risk-free" arbitrage strategy to capture the benefits of Fed Funds interest rate.

Neutral aims to generate consistent absolute returns while reducing risk exposure. It primarily invests in near-expiration option spreads on S&P 500 futures. Positions are structured to be market (Delta) neutral and Vega neutral to limit exposure to market risks. The strategy can profit in both rising and falling markets with a large profit window and high probability of generating profits. It evolved from our extensive experience in trading index futures and related options, and utilizes our patent-pending techniques to identify market inefficiencies and make high-probability trades only when potential profits significantly exceed potential losses.

Risk control is the highest priority for Neutral-A and Neutral. Portfolios are initially hedged to be "market neutral" with both long and short legs of similar value. Notably, Neutral strategies are managed to be "Vega neutral" and optimized with a slightly positive net Vega exposure. To mitigate the risk of an extreme downside market move, further risk management measures will be implemented to fully hedge relevant short legs with corresponding index futures. At expiration, the hedging futures positions would fully offset potential losses. With such risk control measures, Neutral has achieved a low worst peak-to-valley drawdown and has been repeatedly ranked among the top performers by AutumnGold and BarclayHedge.

CHUAN WANG holds a PhD from Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey. Dr. Wang has developed and implemented the trading strategies for the Program since 2008. Said trading strategies used by the program are based on our patent-pending techniques. Prior to founding HiProb, Dr. Wang had a wide spectrum of working experience, including Rutgers University, AT&T/Bell Labs, Merrill Lynch, and State Street Bank. Hiprob Capital Management LLC is a Commodity Trading Advisor registered with the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission, and currently made up of three Series-3 licensed professionals.

Performance

Performance from September 2015 through January 2023 represents the performance of the Neutral Program. Performance from February 2023 represents the performance of the Neutral A Program.

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov DecROR Max DD
2025 0.55% 0.71% 0.83%   2.1% 0%
2024 0.38% 0.96% 0.52% 0.60% 0.59% 0.61% 0.78% -0.62% 0.87% 0.72% 0.66% 1.07% 7.36% -0.62%
2023 0.65% 0.83% 1.66% 1.23% 0.88% 0.60% 1.00% 0.87% 0.91% 1.02% 0.38% 0.57% 11.12% 0%
2022 1.26% 0.81% 0.34% 0.75% 1.20% 0.89% 0.01% 0.79% 0.61% 0.23% 0.05% 0.34% 7.52% 0%
2021 0.56% 0.30% 0.25% 0.30% 0.83% 0.72% 0.47% 0.39% 1.32% 0.19% 0.17% 0.77% 6.45% 0%
2020 2.59% 3.06% 0.06% 1.60% -1.44% -0.05% 0.34% 0.68% 0.71% 0.36% 0.54% 0.46% 9.2% -1.49%

Annual Performance

Years201520162017201820192020
ROR5.97%14.32%15.91%19.29%7.52%9.20%
Max DD0.00%-0.62%-1.65%-0.60%-2.17%-1.49%

Years20212022202320242025 YTD
ROR6.45%7.52%11.12%7.36%2.10%
Max DD0.00%0.00%0.00%-0.62%0.00%



PAST PERFORMANCE DOES NOT GUARANTEE FUTURE SUCCESS. THERE IS A RISK OF LOSS IN FUTURES TRADING.

VAMI, Assets under Management & Worst Drawdown

Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 VAMI, AUM & Worst Drawdown (since Sep 2015)$0$0 $600$1,200$1,800$2,400$3,000$2 $4 $6 $8 $10 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025$1,000 $1,771$1,733 VAMIAssets in Millions Assets Under ManagementVAMI (Red Line Indicates Max Drawdown)

Monthly Returns

Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Monthly Returns (since Sep 2015)-4%-2%2%4%6%2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20250% Month/Year

Accounting Notes:

The rates of monthly return are calculated in accordance with CFTC Regulation 4.35 and NFA rule 2-34, net of all fees.

++Qualified Eligible Investors Only:

A Qualified Eligible Person must meet the following two requirements: 1) the investor must first be an accredited investor. The most common ways for this are to either have a net worth of $1,000,000 or more OR an annual income of $200,000 or more for the last two years OR, combined with a spouse, $300,000 per year for two years, 2) the investor must meet an additional portfolio requirement, which is having $4,000,000 in securities holdings OR the person must have on deposit with a Futures Commission Merchant at least $400,000 in exchange-specified initial margin and option premiums, and required minimum security deposit for retail forex transactions).

Exemptions:

PURSUANT TO AN EXEMPTION FROM THE COMMODITY FUTURES TRADING COMMISSION IN CONNECTION WITH THE ACCOUNTS OF QUALIFIED ELIBIBLE PERSONS, THIS BROCHURE OR ACCOUNT DOCUMENT IS NOT REQUIRED TO BE, AND HAS NOT BEEN, FILED WITH THE COMMISSION. THE COMMODITY FUTURES TRADING COMMISSION DOES NOT PASS UPON THE MERITS OF PARTICIPATING IN A TRADING PROGRAM OR UPON THE ADEQUANCY OR ACCURACY OF THE COMMODITY TRADING ADVISOR DISCLOSURE. CONSEQUENTLY, THE COMMODITY FUTURES TRADING COMMISSION HAS NOT REVIEWED OR APPROVED THIS TRADING PROGRAM OR THIS BROCHURE OR ACCOUNT DOCUMENT.

RISK DISCLOSURE

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.

THIS MATTER IS INTENDED AS A SOLICITATION FOR MANAGED FUTURES. THE RISK OF TRADING COMMODITY FUTURES, OPTIONS, FOREIGN EXCHANGE ('FOREX') AND/OR CRYPTOCURRENCIES IS SUBSTANTIAL. THE HIGH DEGREE OF LEVERAGE ASSOCIATED WITH COMMODITY FUTURES, OPTIONS AND FOREX CAN WORK AGAINST YOU AS WELL AS FOR YOU. THIS HIGH DEGREE OF LEVERAGE CAN RESULT IN SUBSTANTIAL LOSSES, AS WELL AS GAINS. YOU SHOULD THEREFORE CAREFULLY CONSIDER WHETHER SUCH TRADING IS SUITABLE FOR YOU IN LIGHT OF YOUR FINANCIAL CONDITION. IF YOU ARE UNSURE YOU SHOULD SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. AN INVESTOR MUST READ AND UNDERSTAND THE CTA’S CURRENT DISCLOSURE DOCUMENT BEFORE INVESTING. THERE ARE NO GUARANTEES OF PROFIT NO MATTER WHO IS MANAGING YOUR MONEY.

PAST PERFORMANCE DOES NOT GUARANTEE FUTURE SUCCESS. IN SOME CASES MANAGED ACCOUNTS ARE CHARGED SUBSTANTIAL COMMISSIONS AND ADVISORY FEES. THOSE ACCOUNTS SUBJECT TO THESE CHARGES, MAY NEED TO MAKE SUBSTANTIAL TRADING PROFITS JUST TO AVOID DEPLETION OF THEIR ASSETS. EACH COMMODITY TRADING ADVISOR ("CTA") IS REQUIRED BY THE COMMODITY FUTURES TRADING COMMISSION ("CFTC") TO ISSUE TO PROSPECTIVE CLIENTS A RISK DISCLOSURE DOCUMENT OUTLINING THESE FEES, CONFLICTS OF INTEREST AND OTHER ASSOCIATED RISKS. A HARD COPY OF THESE RISK DISCLOSURE DOCUMENTS ARE READILY AVAILABLE BY CLICKING ON EACH CTA'S "REQUEST DISCLOSURE DOCUMENT" BUTTON.

THE FULL RISK OF COMMODITY FUTURES, OPTIONS AND FOREX TRADING CAN NOT BE ADDRESSED IN THIS RISK DISCLOSURE STATEMENT. NO CONSIDERATION TO INVEST SHOULD BE MADE WITHOUT THOROUGHLY READING THE DISCLOSURE DOCUMENT OF EACH OF THE CTAS IN WHICH YOU MAY HAVE AN INTEREST. REQUESTING A DISCLOSURE DOCUMENT PLACES YOU UNDER NO OBLIGATION AND EACH DOCUMENT IS PROVIDED AT NO COST. THE CFTC HAS NOT PASSED UPON THE MERITS OF PARTICIPATING IN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING PROGRAMS NOR ON THE ADEQUACY OR ACCURACY OF THE DISCLOSURE DOCUMENTS. OTHER DISCLOSURE STATEMENTS ARE REQUIRED TO BE PROVIDED TO YOU BEFORE AN ACCOUNT MAY BE OPENED FOR YOU.

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. PROSPECTIVE CLIENTS SHOULD NOT BASE THEIR DECISION ON INVESTING IN THIS TRADING PROGRAM SOLELY ON THE PAST PERFORMANCE PRESENTED. ADDITIONALLY, IN MAKING AN INVESTMENT DECISION, PROSPECTIVE CLIENTS MUST ALSO RELY ON THEIR OWN EXAMINATION OF THE PERSON OR ENTITY MAKING THE TRADING DECISIONS AND THE TERMS OF THE ADVISORY AGREEMENT INCLUDING THE MERITS AND RISKS INVOLVED.

AUTUMN GOLD CTA INDEXES ARE NON-INVESTABLE INDEXES COMPRISED OF THE CLIENT PERFORMANCE OF CTA PROGRAMS INCLUDED IN THE AUTUMN GOLD DATABASE AND DO NOT REPRESENT THE COMPLETE UNIVERSE OF CTAS. INVESTORS SHOULD NOTE THAT IT IS NOT POSSIBLE TO INVEST IN THESE INDEXES.